The people likeliest to be left out of polling may well break heavily Obama.

Plus over-representation - the Republicans are increasingly dependent on older whites, especially males - how many have passed on in the four years since the last election.

Or write in Jesus, or vote libertarian, but they don't want their neighbors, wife, kids, rednecks down the block to know they didn't vote R in 2012.

if suddenly Micky Mouse polling organizations appeared with the intention of making one side look better than it really is.

because the majority of the polls are LV models. Where they basically cut half his leads from the RV poll numbers. Because they always assume Black, Hispanic, and young voters won't actually vote

They go because others are there - friends, family, fellow church members etc.

If they are inaccurate, we should expect a bell curve with equal error in both directions, not a systematic problem with statistics. One problem all pollsters might encounter is inability to phone all segments of the populace equally.

but the likelihood of it is frankly very, very small. In essence Silver says it is about 8.5%, I think it is likely even lower than that.

There's no way the polls are wrong. We're all PROUD OBAMA VOTERS, and who wouldn't be!!!