Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

brooklynite

(94,594 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:10 AM Nov 2012

For those getting rev'd up by Nate Silver's win probability, please keep something in mind...

Nate's second number is a vote percentage estimate of 50.9%. This is a close race and will be through the evening tomorrow. We still need to cast and fight for every vote.

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

cry baby

(6,682 posts)
1. Everyone in red states like me must vote D tomorrow...
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:13 AM
Nov 2012

whether or not it will change your state's.color...YOUR VOTE MATTERS! Gotta win the popular vote, too, as an exclamation point on where we want the direction of this country to go.

Lone_Star_Dem

(28,158 posts)
2. It's not over yet.
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:14 AM
Nov 2012

For those, like myself, in red states. We've made calls, donated money, when we could and voted.

Now we wait. I hate the waiting.

Bjorn Against

(12,041 posts)
3. Also don't forget Nate Silver's model does not take voter supression efforts into account
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:14 AM
Nov 2012

The voter suppression efforts have been really blatant this year and people need to speak out if they see it. I think Obama would easily win if this was a fair election, the problem is this will not be a fair election. He will still most likely win but not without overcoming a lot of dirty tricks.

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
14. Time to do this!
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:29 AM
Nov 2012

It is us now. We must do our job. Phone bank, vote and keep the election honest.

We will prevail if we stay focused right now.

OldDem2012

(3,526 posts)
15. The popular vote really means nothing...only the EVs determine the victor....
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:30 AM
Nov 2012

...but just for fun, let's do a little exercise.

If 130 million people vote, as they did last year, each percentage point is equal to 1,300,000 votes. A win of 2-3 percentage points equals a margin of 2,600,000 to 3,900,000 votes.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
16. The popular vote does not determine who sits in the Oval Office
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:13 AM
Nov 2012

The popular vote determines what that person can do.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»For those getting rev'd u...