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jezebel

(1,772 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:31 AM Nov 2012

Final IBD/TIPP poll Obama 50.3 Romney 48.7

http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll


Final Results: Nov. 5, 2012

Obama: +1.6
Obama 50.3% | Romney 48.7%

For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote. That's a critical threshold he had to hit in order to make a win possible.
Romney continues to hold a significant 6-point advantage with independents and a 14-point edge with investors..
Romney performs better with Conservatives than McCain did in 2008.
Catholic voters are breaking for Romney. He now holds a 17-point lead among this group, up from just 1 point in the Oct. 28 poll.


Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx#ixzz2BQRYsfjA
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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
1. A lot of contradictory data in that poll
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:34 AM
Nov 2012

It says Romney has a big lead with Independents, even though most other polls show Obama Tied with Romney among Indies now.

It says Obama has gone up to 40% of the white vote, yet his National lead is just so-so.

And it says Romney is winning by a large margin with Catholics, which also contradicts certain other polling data. Usually the candidate that wins the Catholic vote wins the election, so hopefully that's not a bad omen for Obama on that one.

Still, a lead is a lead, and every National poll that shows a lead for Obama is good news.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
2. I have a hard time believing Obama is losing the Catholic vote by 17 points...
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:35 AM
Nov 2012

He won it by 11 in '08 and no candidate has lost by that wide of margin since 1980. Unless they mean white Catholics. But overall Catholics? If he's losing it by 17, he's losing this election by at least 10%.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
3. Is this first "daily" tracking poll from this group since before Sandy?
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:38 AM
Nov 2012

It seems a long time since I saw anything from them.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
7. I think Pew was close to being the most accurate
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:41 AM
Nov 2012

With Rasmussen supposedly the winner of that title too.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
8. Why are you guys acting like this is BAD news?-Wake up!!
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:41 AM
Nov 2012

This poll is the most accurate poll out there and all you can do is say oh Obama's going to lose by 10 since he's down by 17 among Catholics?? WTF? So tired of the negativity.

With its record in 2004/2008, this poll is about as good as an exit poll!! We've won!!

This cements our victory and 4 more years baby!!

fearnobush

(3,960 posts)
6. I believe the important number here is 50.3. Over fifty percent is what really matters.
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:41 AM
Nov 2012

And yes, they were the most accurate in 2008.

smorkingapple

(827 posts)
10. Small sample size
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 05:33 AM
Nov 2012

712 voters. Unknown how many id as Catholics. They had a poll in 2008 showing McCain winning youth vote with 70%. This happens with small samples.

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