2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFinal IBD/TIPP poll Obama 50.3 Romney 48.7
http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspxIBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Final Results: Nov. 5, 2012
Obama: +1.6
Obama 50.3% | Romney 48.7%
For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote. That's a critical threshold he had to hit in order to make a win possible.
Romney continues to hold a significant 6-point advantage with independents and a 14-point edge with investors..
Romney performs better with Conservatives than McCain did in 2008.
Catholic voters are breaking for Romney. He now holds a 17-point lead among this group, up from just 1 point in the Oct. 28 poll.
Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx#ixzz2BQRYsfjA
TroyD
(4,551 posts)It says Romney has a big lead with Independents, even though most other polls show Obama Tied with Romney among Indies now.
It says Obama has gone up to 40% of the white vote, yet his National lead is just so-so.
And it says Romney is winning by a large margin with Catholics, which also contradicts certain other polling data. Usually the candidate that wins the Catholic vote wins the election, so hopefully that's not a bad omen for Obama on that one.
Still, a lead is a lead, and every National poll that shows a lead for Obama is good news.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)He won it by 11 in '08 and no candidate has lost by that wide of margin since 1980. Unless they mean white Catholics. But overall Catholics? If he's losing it by 17, he's losing this election by at least 10%.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)It seems a long time since I saw anything from them.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)AJH032
(1,124 posts)Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)With Rasmussen supposedly the winner of that title too.
NewsCenter28
(1,835 posts)This poll is the most accurate poll out there and all you can do is say oh Obama's going to lose by 10 since he's down by 17 among Catholics?? WTF? So tired of the negativity.
With its record in 2004/2008, this poll is about as good as an exit poll!! We've won!!
This cements our victory and 4 more years baby!!
fearnobush
(3,960 posts)And yes, they were the most accurate in 2008.
mzmolly
(50,996 posts)smorkingapple
(827 posts)712 voters. Unknown how many id as Catholics. They had a poll in 2008 showing McCain winning youth vote with 70%. This happens with small samples.