290 or 291. I don't see how he doesn't win the EV. Romney, even if he has a shockingly tremendous day, simply cannot get over the hurdle of 270. The question is more, what is Obama's ceiling?

Always ruining the preset narrative with that crazy arithmetic magic thing!

polling, as well as the fly-by-night "polling outfits" that are essentially propaganda arms.

Nobody in their right mind would accuse Sabato of saying this because of his liberal bias.

Of course, that only eliminates about 25% of the right wing.

He is predicting it could be 303.

except for Fux Noise. They have Rmoney winning with 285 EVs.

George Will & Peggy Noonan are both calling it for Romney.

Perhaps the establishment feels it needs to fall in line.

And I think Ezra Klein does too.

It seems that most people agree on the same basic states going to Obama (NH, OH, IA, NV, CO etc.) with the question mark being whether VA will be added on top to bring it from 290 to 303.

http://core.talkingpointsmemo.com/election/scoreboard

The House and the Senate are changing though. Dems may pick up 1 to 2 seats in the Senate now, as well as 13-17 in the House.

The fact that we're about to increase our lead in the Senate is really going to stick in the craws of the Righties.

Depends on some of those close races which can go either way. Eg. Tester in Montana, Heitkamp in North Dakota, Baldwin in Wisconsin

If they break the right way, then it's possible to increase the Majority.