although it is cool to see the states color in. It is better to look at the summary statistics:

The other thing as Nate points out is that it basically treats each state result as an independent event and of course they are not. It matters that Obama has been gaining momentum in the last week even if some state polls don't reflect it so much because it has an affect on enthusiasm and turnout, which can't really be measured with statistics.

Besides, some people are having fun with it. Live and let live please.

...and it came out with a Dem win on every one. 'Nuff said.

but it gave him PA and NV. Riiiight.

Now, step away from the simulators... GOTV!!

to do some yard work.

That'll offset your Wisconsin error.

Romney won once.

Romney won overall, but in a totally impossible way.

First time
O - 257
R - 281
Romney wins OH, NV, FL, NC, CO, OR, AND IA
Obama wins WI, VA and NH


Second time
O - 326
R - 212
Romney wins NV & NC
Obama wins OH, FL, IA, WI, VA, NH, CO

Third and final time
O - 284
R - 254
Romney wins OH, WI, NC, & PA
Obama wins FL, NV, CO, IA, NH, & VA

But I do have to say that I find Nate Silver's very high prediction very scary! Don't know how he does it, but almost 92% is something I've never seen!

One thing pundits have said from the get go that this will be a close election... 92% is much too easy, doncha think?

It seems so completely random

So a state which is almost even like Florida should come up 50% of the time for each candidate.