my best guess is a narrow loss based on the fact we are down a bit in Early voting from 2008 and total turn out is expected to be down a bit. We won by 0.3 percent last time and I think we will lose by about that this time. We aren't getting any Obama interviews today (every swing state but us and NH is) so I think they are thinking a narrow loss as well.

They are Republicans, but seeing their posts on Facebook, the Repukes are voting in droves down there today. North Carolina isn't likely happening, but the fact the state is still in question at this late hour is not a bad sign.

BUT here is the silver lining he is up approx 64/36 in early votes which is 69% of total votes.

Huge early voting lead. And we're getting heavy turnout in the blue areas of the state

Also, a lot more signs for down ticket Democrats.

I'm thinking that people had been hiding them because of all the sign thefts that had been going on. Or maybe they didn't want to get into a spat with crazy teabagger neighbors.

Before today, the signs had been about ten to one Romney. Now 50/50.

This is about the only thing concrete I can report. I went the absentee ballot route, so can't report on any poll experiences.

Yesterday here in downtown Hillsborough (in true blue Orange County) I saw several OFA folks targeting houses and leaving door hangers for dems who hadn't voted yet. Spoke to one guy who said he'd be at it all day, bless him.

I'm feeling hopeful.