2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMark Halperin says Not Since clinton Has he seen a Candidate (Obama)Confident About Victory
I've covered presidential campaigns since '92. Only Clinton '96 projected as much confidence as Obama '12, and '96 was a semi-landslide.
other quote
After talking today to Ds who have spoken to Obama pollster & Rs who have spoken to Mitt's: Chicago sure of win; Boston thinks they CAN win
source twitter
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)ANDREA MITCHELL: Youve been talking to the campaigns. You were out so recently in Ohio and in Virginia with former President Clinton and President Obama. Youve seen the emotion on both sides. What are you hearing today from the campaigns?
MARK HALPERIN: Ive talked to people who have talked to the pollsters for both campaigns today. These are not people who work directly for the campaign but close associates, obviously, with access to pollsters. Theres a fundamental difference and it reflects what weve seen for the last couple weeks. The Presidents team, given that they acknowledge theyre in a close race, theyre certain theyre going to win. They show no weakness, no doubt that they are going to win. The most confident Ive seen a presidential campaign in my career, with the exception of President Clintons campaign in 1996 and they were not in a close race.
People on the Republican side say, we can win. We might win. Some of them go so far as to say, I think were going to win. But the degree of confidence, with few exceptions, is not nearly as high in the Romney camp as it is across the board in the Obama camp. Remember, were dealing with people like Joel Benenson, David Axelrod, David Plouffe. They are worriers. They are not people who easily say, Weve got this in the bag. Theyre people who sweat every detail and theyre supremely confident.
outsideworld
(601 posts)Whisp
(24,096 posts)I wouldn't take any word from that Halperin guy who called Obama a Dick. I don't trust him, never will.
NYC Liberal
(20,136 posts)Until then I am confident but nervous!
NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)Until it's called, I won't stop worrying
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)S_E_Fudd
(1,295 posts)Probably have a good idea how its shaking out...
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)That info is strictly embargoed until 5 PM. The people who crunch it are locked in a room until 5. Unless the campaigns do their own exit polling they don't have exit poll data. But they do have information on how many people have turned out in different precincts.
S_E_Fudd
(1,295 posts)I would think the campaigns would have their own. I remember in 1992 watching the behind the scenes documentary that when Clinton landed back in Little Rock after his last campaign appearance they already had enough exits to know they were going to win.
But I guess things might have changed...
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)It was after the 2000 debacle that they started embargoing exit poll results.