2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe TPP - question - how will this benefit the average American?
To me it looks like it nullifies the Constitution and makes the main reason for human civilization is to serve corporate profits above all else?
Why on earth does it appear that passing it is going to be included in the Democratic Party Platform?
Why would E. Warren endorse Hillary given her articulate opposition to the TPP?
Is this some Dr. Evil plot by the PTB's to accelerate global climate change? Do the PTB's have another planet to live on once they completely wreck this one?
-90% Jimmy
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)all of the "sovereignty" and job loss and the other doomsday arguments are purely speculation.
My sense is for the "average American", the sun will come up, every day, and their lives will be unaffected in any noticeable way.
Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)or you are not concerned about the consequences?
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)and I am very concerned about the consequences ... however, despite speculation and protestations to the contrary, the TPP has some of the strongest environmental protections of any trade deal in history.
Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)I read in some TPP Environmental Chapter text (via New Zealand) this defining clause:
... and wonder who and how it would be decided what constitutes a disguised restriction on trade or investment?
I also read an analysis from the Center for International Environmental Law which is gloomy:
... So I have my doubts... To put it mildly.
The EU, btw, for similar reasons, will not pass the TTIP because France, as any EU country can, will veto it, M. Hollande has said. The mad in power in the UK might go for it, though.
brentspeak
(18,290 posts)These "trade" deals have always been about one thing: shipping jobs overseas and depressing wages for those still employed back home. Average Americans understand this.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)increasing wages in low wage nations (a component contained in the TPP)?
ETA: No ... what is clear you think you represent the "Average American" ... you do not. The "Average American" couldn't tell you what effect trade deals have on their lives (beyond possibly guessing that they make it so they can get stuff to buy) ... let along what the TPP is.
brentspeak
(18,290 posts)to understand the effect trade deals have had on their livelihoods.
Your attitude is not a surprise.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)they are unconcerned ... that's what makes them "average."
And your attitude that everyone thinks like you is not surprising
DanTex
(20,709 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)See my post below - it will actually protect many jobs in WA state, which is why both our Dem senators and congress people voted in favor of it. And also why politically informed people here support it strongly.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)that happens for the next 50 years is because of TPP, and anti-TPP will insist that it caused everything bad that happens.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)Little bit here, a little bit there.....Pretty soon the economy is totally distorted to the top and the distribution of real power is likewise concentrated in very few hands.
Been going on for 35 years.
(I assume you know the boiling lobster metaphor, or turning up the heat verrrrry slowly until the lobsters u ltimately are boiled to death. )
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)That's called planning as part of policy.
If one never speculates aboiut the possible downsides of things, we'd do a lot of really stupid stuff.
Hell let's just elect Trump., He says he'll make America great. Let's take him at his word. What could possibly go wrong?
Hell let's just elect all Republicans. Why speculate about what might happen if they get carte blanch?
Sancho
(9,070 posts)usually my buddies are immigrants from Cuba, SA, the Caribbean, or Eastern Europe. You may not appreciate the sources, but since you asked:
http://fortune.com/2015/10/27/tpp-good-for-small-businesses/
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/is-the-tpp-good-for-america-by-simon-johnson-2016-02?barrier=true
http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/op-ed/article43303056.html
Why is TPP a good deal for American agriculture? It positions us as a leader. It gives us the opportunity to build a loyal customer base in a region where demand is projected to grow substantially in the next 15 years. As with any negotiation, the final TPP agreement reflects compromise on all sides, but we believe our negotiators got the best possible deal for American agriculture.
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/op-ed/article43303056.html#storylink=cpy
http://www.tradeworks.org.nz/tpp-unwrapped/
TPP is a secret negotiation.
TPP will allow corporations to sue governments.
TPP will force us to make changes to our intellectual property laws that will take a major toll on New Zealand.
TPP will trash the environment.
TPP could force us to change laws (like our employment law) that are important to us.
TPP will let foreigners buy our land.
http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2015-06-16/what-the-proposed-pacific-trade-deal-could-mean-for-u-s-jobs
http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2015-02-03/understanding_the_trans_pacific_partnership_and_what_the_trade_deal_could_mean_for_the_u_s_economy
bklyncowgirl
(7,960 posts)It will greatly harm Americans who work in manufacturing. It will hurt most Americans who work for a living by depressing wages as people displaced by the fallout flood the job market as their companies flock to countries with cheaper wages and low environmental standards.
It will help people who work in the financial, service, hospitality, entertainment and agricultural industries. Some goods may become cheaper but bear in mind companies will charge what the market will bear and happily pocket the difference in manufacturing cost instead of passing it along to consumers.
It will of course be a great boon to investors making the rich already richer and after all isn't that what this is all about.
TheFarseer
(9,323 posts)Good luck outsourcing farm land, right? It's disturbing that .5% larger economy by 2030 is all the better the sunshine pumpers can do. I'd hate to see the low estimate.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)and the world progress, and generally be good for us long-term in a world that is rapidly changing.
As to the "nullifying Constitution," that is pretty much junk. The provisions that people think will "nullify the Constitution" have pretty much been in every trade agreement since 1959, including trade agreements between European countries that we are not part of. Those provisions help countries attract needed investment, jobs and tax revenues.
As to environmental issues, I think Obama took care of that to a significant degree with his work with the Paris Accord. One can't expect trade agreements to solve every one of the world's problems.
Can the TPP be improved? You bet -- either by altering the agreement or negotiating other agreements such as the Paris Accord. But it is a good start.
I think Elizabeth Warren understands our best way forward is working to improve the world, not becoming more Nationalistic and adopting Trumpism like America First. That will just accelerate our economic issues here, not to mention isolate us from the world.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)most of the sources of criticism remain pre-publication of TPP?
Now that we can read it ourselves, it still remains "Trade bad" mantra.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)arcane1
(38,613 posts)CK_John
(10,005 posts)in the world who makes the stuff we need to survive.
brentspeak
(18,290 posts)CK_John
(10,005 posts)looking for shoes and everything is made in asia or india.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)And all of the smaller businesses that sell to Microsoft and Boeing. Because one of the largest problems they face is the theft of intellectual property. If it continues to be stolen by Asian entities without constraints the companies here will suffer and those jobs will be threatened.
Those jobs pay an average of $80-90K per year. They are good jobs with good benefits.
In addition, the apple farmers are very much looking forward to being able to increase their exports.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)Just more uninformed conjecture? The idea is to sell more planes to China - not to sell less planes or build them somewhere else instead of here. It's a bid to get airplane orders from China.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)How would that save their stockholders money? I think you're bright enough to figure that out.
MaggieD
(7,393 posts)They are adding a plant in China, not replacing a plant here with a plant in China. Why? Because it helps them win contracts for planes with the Chinese government, which is the actual objective (that is what airbus did to get Chinese government contracts).
floriduck
(2,262 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)And you can stop blaming Democrats for facing reality instead of sticking their heads in the sand. This particular example is NOT sad for our laborers. As I explained to you, workers in WA will benefit from the TPP.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)And when a Washington State (my current residence) laborers lose jobs to the Chinese, it has zero benefit to them except short term unemployment benefits.
If Patty Murray and Maria Cantwell didn't need donations from Boeing and Microsoft, they likely would have voted for their residents and not for the outsources.
MaggieD
(7,393 posts)Because I know that those local companies provide good jobs and good benefits. And those good jobs and good benefits make this a great place to live. My brother in law works for Boeing. My wife is retired from Microsoft. My kid went to great schools funded by the property taxes of MS employees. Many of my friends and neighbors work for these companies.
And everyone I know that has benefited from MS and Boeing is more than happy that our senators support TPP.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)MaggieD
(7,393 posts)We live in a global economy.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Where do you guys get this stuff from?
pokerfan
(27,677 posts)From The Atlantic: http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/06/tpp-isds-constitution/396389/
The Supreme Court has not ruled on this precise question. But the collective reasoning in four of its recent rulings bearing on the issue leans heavily toward a finding of unconstitutionality. The Court has placed significant limits on the ability of Congress to assign the power to decide cases traditionally handled by the courts to people other than Article III judges, even when the judicial substitutes are full-time federal officials, such as bankruptcy judges or the heads of federal agencies. Moreover, in each case in which the Court approved of a dispute being taken away from federal judges, there was judicial review at the end of the process, which is not the case with TPP. Moreover, although the Justice Department issued a lengthy opinion in 1995 on when arbitration can be used to replace court adjudication, it did not then, and has not since then, defended the constitutionality of arbitration provisions like those in the proposed TPP.
As it presses for the passage of TPP, the administration needs to explain how the Constitution allows the United States to agree to submit the validity of its federal, state, and local laws to three private arbitrators, with no possibility of review by any U.S. court. Otherwise, it risks securing a trade agreement that wont survive judicial scrutiny, or, even worse, which will undermine the structural protections that an independent federal judiciary was created to ensure.
I know, I know. Remain calm, all is well...
TheKentuckian
(25,026 posts)They end around this because every check on the abuse is bought up too, essentially because they can.
Response to JaneyVee (Reply #23)
forjusticethunders This message was self-deleted by its author.
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)i find that very confusing.
90-percent
(6,829 posts)TPP Constitution
Also look what Bernie, Thom Harmann, Noam Chomsky, Ed schultz, Robert Reich and Bill Moyers have to say about it.
Here's a short video from Noam.
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/vb.6622931938/10153750382481939/?type=2&theater
-90% Jimmy
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Because ISDS cases will be in the US jurisdiction.
It's actually harmful to the states that AGREED to ISDS, because they will be fucked even if they have a legitimate claim.
midnight
(26,624 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)Jitter65
(3,089 posts)The better question to me is what is the consequence of not TPP vs TPP?
The President did a fair job (he needs to do better) in explaining the impact of automation vs trade agreements in loss of jobs.
http://www.c-span.org/video/?406310-1/president-obama-joint-news-conference-canadian-prime-minister-trudeau
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Warren isn't a fool. Clinton isn't even against TPP except in the judicial aspects and environmental aspects (the environmental aspects are paramount).
A Little Weird
(1,754 posts)But it will benefit the big political donors so that's all that matters.
LuvLoogie
(7,011 posts)Until Americans start shopping Value over Price, Cost over Price, Local over Cheap, this is what we'll get.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I won't speak to the efficacy or lack of efficacy of any trade agreement but the demonization of trade by both the left and the right will not end well.
One of the main contributors to the economic depression that swept the world in the thirties and forties is that nations started to withdraw into their protectionist shells.
Building walls around our nation to keep out people and/or goods will not end well.
I pray my fellow Americans resist this noxious trend.