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2016 Postmortem

Recursion

(56,582 posts) Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:53 PM Nov 2012

7

Prelim exit polls: electorate like '08 not '10

Per NPR

73% white
39% economy improving vs. 31% getting worse

Closer to being able to breathe again

19 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Prelim exit polls: electorate like '08 not '10 (Original Post) Recursion Nov 2012 OP

It's not like '12?!? Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #1

Thanks; corrected (nt) Recursion Nov 2012 #2

Do they mean 10 or 04? timber84 Nov 2012 #3

I think they mean it's more likely to be a Dem electorate TroyD Nov 2012 #5

Not like 12??!? Am I living in the future and Joe Biden is top ticket?!??! MassedPole Nov 2012 #4

You must have taken a really long nap! Bake Nov 2012 #18

You mean not like 2010? Jennicut Nov 2012 #6

Don't trust exit polls any more than I trust Gallup/Ras/Etc. justiceischeap Nov 2012 #7

Hard to lie about being white though... BeyondGeography Nov 2012 #9

73 percent white = good for us BeyondGeography Nov 2012 #8

How so? panAmerican Nov 2012 #10

Because the turnout in '08 was 74% white and 77% in '04... Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #11

Ok, thanks for explaining panAmerican Nov 2012 #13

somewhere i had read the white vote would be a big indicator o amborin Nov 2012 #15

Romney needs 76% white to win Recursion Nov 2012 #12

Awesome DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #14

Remember, a lot of white people DO support Obama too! musicblind Nov 2012 #16

Do we have a link? TroyD Nov 2012 #17

It was on the radio Recursion Nov 2012 #19

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

1. It's not like '12?!?

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:54 PM

Nov 2012

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

2. Thanks; corrected (nt)

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:54 PM

Nov 2012

timber84

(2,876 posts)

3. Do they mean 10 or 04?

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:55 PM

Nov 2012

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

5. I think they mean it's more likely to be a Dem electorate

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:55 PM

Nov 2012

Compared to the Rep electorate of 2010.

MassedPole

(242 posts)

4. Not like 12??!? Am I living in the future and Joe Biden is top ticket?!??!

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:55 PM

Nov 2012

Bake

(21,977 posts)

18. You must have taken a really long nap!

Reply to MassedPole (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:10 PM

Nov 2012

Bake

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

6. You mean not like 2010?

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:55 PM

Nov 2012

If 73% white, that is not good for Romney at all.

justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)

7. Don't trust exit polls any more than I trust Gallup/Ras/Etc.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:56 PM

Nov 2012

I've seen GOP tweeters encourage other GOP tweeters to lie on exit polls and other polls to skew the data. I think that happened in '04.

BeyondGeography

(39,374 posts)

9. Hard to lie about being white though...

Reply to justiceischeap (Reply #7)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:56 PM

Nov 2012

BeyondGeography

(39,374 posts)

8. 73 percent white = good for us

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:56 PM

Nov 2012

Gallup was going with 78 percent white with its tracking poll, IMO.

panAmerican

(1,206 posts)

10. How so?

Reply to BeyondGeography (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:57 PM

Nov 2012

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

11. Because the turnout in '08 was 74% white and 77% in '04...

Reply to panAmerican (Reply #10)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:58 PM

Nov 2012

This race looks more like '08 than '04, which the Romney campaign was banking on.

panAmerican

(1,206 posts)

13. Ok, thanks for explaining

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #11)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:00 PM

Nov 2012

amborin

(16,631 posts)

15. somewhere i had read the white vote would be a big indicator o

Reply to panAmerican (Reply #13)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:06 PM

Nov 2012

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

12. Romney needs 76% white to win

Reply to panAmerican (Reply #10)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:59 PM

Nov 2012

Unless he can break 20% non-white, which ain't happening

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

14. Awesome

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:02 PM

Nov 2012

O can win with 37% or 38% of the white vote.

He was over that; even in his worst polls...

musicblind

(4,484 posts)

16. Remember, a lot of white people DO support Obama too!

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:09 PM

Nov 2012

Like me and my boyfriend, and all of our friends both white, black, and latino.

Of course then there are my conservative parents... but I can't do anything about that.

He should get at LEAST 40% of the white vote. I can't imagine he gets less than that... and I am trying to take into account for people who are racist...

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

17. Do we have a link?

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:09 PM

Nov 2012

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

19. It was on the radio

Reply to TroyD (Reply #17)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:22 PM

Nov 2012

Check Drudge; the Freepers are starting to panic

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