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Tweets All / No replies 4m Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight
Keeping an Eye on Chesterfield County, Va. http://nyti.ms/RHnaXa

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Swing State Exit Polls Show Party ID Edge for Democrats http://nyti.ms/VRSIcF

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[new article] Live Blog: The 2012 Presidential Election http://nyti.ms/VAuOqJ


?@tedfrank
Remember: 1) early unmodulated exit polls are garbage; 2) early VA returns will be heavily GOP, with blue counties reporting later at night.

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Running one last projection based on this AM's polls. Our projected margin in Florida now Obama 49.797, Romney 49.775.


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IMPORTANT: That we have Obama as a ~90% favorite does NOT mean we're predicting a landslide. We expect a close election.

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