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2016 Postmortem

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smorkingapple

(827 posts) Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:07 PM Nov 2012

Obama is taking FL. I CALLED IT FIRST. *UPDATED*

Last edited Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:49 AM - Edit history (3)

Only 14% of Miami Dade and none of Broward yet.

Obama will have a 400K plus margin for those two. Rest of counties with precincts outstanding are too small to make a difference.

I'm willing to state it here first.

Update 9AM 11/7: Obama up by 48K votes now. All that's left is Miami-Dade and he's winning by 25 points. 20000 absentee votes left to be counted in Miami Dade. Full results by this afternoon. Still some provisional and federal absentee ballots left but not expected to go to Romney enough.

Jeb Bush told Romney last night Florida was lost

GO FL!!!!

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Obama is taking FL. I CALLED IT FIRST. *UPDATED* (Original Post) smorkingapple Nov 2012 OP
Really hope your right. MassedPole Nov 2012 #1
That's bold, man. AtheistCrusader Nov 2012 #2
Check this site and do your own math smorkingapple Nov 2012 #3
Palm Beach county Zo Zig Nov 2012 #22
looking good for Obama!.. nothing can save Robme if Obama take FL BREMPRO Nov 2012 #4
Chuck Todd disagrees. woolldog Nov 2012 #5
Good call The_Casual_Observer Nov 2012 #6
Glad you think so. I'm tweeting to my peeps to STAY in line! They have to let you vote if you silvershadow Nov 2012 #7
Also as I said, 3rd parties with get 0.5-1% of vote which hurts Romney. smorkingapple Nov 2012 #8
Come on Broward Co, send the Obama love NightWatcher Nov 2012 #9
Romney is ahead by 1288 votes now??! What area is counting next is it dem? Smuckies Nov 2012 #10
shit...tightened....romney now ahead.....please dems stay in line..wolf blitzer is gleeful amborin Nov 2012 #11
way to early bigfoothunter Nov 2012 #12
You're damned right he is! MjolnirTime Nov 2012 #13
Looking good! budkin Nov 2012 #14
Cascade of Democratic votes from Miami Dade yet to be counted flamingdem Nov 2012 #15
Down by a little over 1k... tufnel Nov 2012 #16
More like barely reported TTUBatfan2008 Nov 2012 #18
Here's more good news from Exits smorkingapple Nov 2012 #17
A little over a thousand votes betw Obama and Romney in graphic I just saw... ProfessionalLeftist Nov 2012 #19
Nate Silver says.... renate Nov 2012 #20
kick Baitball Blogger Nov 2012 #21
Latest Silver post smorkingapple Nov 2012 #23
Proud Pinellas/St.Pete resident right here! Coexist Nov 2012 #28
Now up by 22K smorkingapple Nov 2012 #24
I saw a tweet from the Sun Sentinel octoberlib Nov 2012 #32
here it comes, give it a minute NightWatcher Nov 2012 #25
50 50 now with 1000 vote difference... but with ohio leaning Obama won't matter which way FL goes BREMPRO Nov 2012 #26
Rove is hoping for Santa Rosa county comes in for Romney smorkingapple Nov 2012 #27
Go Obama Go!!! GetTheRightVote Nov 2012 #29
Oh please God coeur_de_lion Nov 2012 #30
From Sarasota County... Giving Those Blue Counties A ChiciB1 Nov 2012 #31
Obama winning, I feel even more strong about it now.Expect a call for FL tonight but it won't matter smorkingapple Nov 2012 #33
you got it! MyNameIsKhan Nov 2012 #34
IF you are right it's over. sarcasmo Nov 2012 #35
Chuck Todd already leaning FL towards Obama. IT'S OVER!!!!!! smorkingapple Nov 2012 #36
Obama up by 50K. IT'S OVER smorkingapple Nov 2012 #37
Al Gore on Current call Florida for Obama Ghost of Tom Joad Nov 2012 #38
Santa Rosa not gonna do it for Romney. Miami Dade still out. IT'S OURS!!!!!!! smorkingapple Nov 2012 #39
Chuck Todd on MSNBC now showing why FL is about to go Obama. smorkingapple Nov 2012 #40
JEB BUSH TOLD ROMNEY FL IS LOST!!! smorkingapple Nov 2012 #41
FL should be called this afternoon. Not that it matters smorkingapple Nov 2012 #42
 

silvershadow

(10,336 posts)
7. Glad you think so. I'm tweeting to my peeps to STAY in line! They have to let you vote if you
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:11 PM
Nov 2012

were in line at closing.

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bigfoothunter

(6 posts)
12. way to early
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:12 PM
Nov 2012

...watch the Tampa Bay area. It's swinging back and forth like a baby bigfoot swing from a pine tree.

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smorkingapple

(827 posts)
17. Here's more good news from Exits
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:13 PM
Nov 2012
Exit polls from Florida are up: Romney leads men by 5 points. Obama leads women 6 points. Electorate was 45 percent male, 55 percent female. Race breakdown projected: 66% white, 13% African American, 17% Hispanic. In 2008, exit polls showed 71% white, 13% African American, 14% Hispanic.


No way Romney takes this state if these are even close to true...
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renate

(13,776 posts)
20. Nate Silver says....
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:22 PM
Nov 2012

In the final pre-election forecast at FiveThirtyEight, the state of Florida was exceptionally close. Officially, Mr. Obama was projected to 49.797 percent of the vote there, and Mr. Romney 49.775 percent, a difference of two-hundredths of a percentage point.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election/#more-37333

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smorkingapple

(827 posts)
23. Latest Silver post
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:30 PM
Nov 2012

Or Micah Cohen

In every presidential election since 1960, the candidate who prevailed in Florida’s Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, has also prevailed in Florida. There is no guarantee that the pattern will hold in 2012, but the Tampa region is critical in carrying the Sunshine State (which is why the Republican Party held their national convention there this year).

More than 80 percent of the vote has been reported in Hillsborough, and President Obama leads Mitt Romney by five percentage points. Mr. Obama, as we have written, is likely getting a push from Florida’s fast-growing Hispanic community. In Hillsborough, Hispanic residents have grown by 71 percent since 2000, now accounting for a quarter of the county’s population.

Mr. Obama is also leading in another Florida bellwether, Pinellas County, Hillsborough County’s eastern neighbor. In Pinellas, 99 percent of the vote has been reported, and Mr. Obama is edging out Mr. Romney 52 percent to 47 percent.


Good night Irene.
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smorkingapple

(827 posts)
27. Rove is hoping for Santa Rosa county comes in for Romney
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:39 PM
Nov 2012

But Palm Beach, Miami and Broward are doing better and will make the difference.. He knows they're gonna lose...

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ChiciB1

(15,435 posts)
31. From Sarasota County... Giving Those Blue Counties A
Reply to smorkingapple (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:53 PM
Nov 2012

BIG K & R!! It WILL be all over if Obama Takes Florida!

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Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Obama is taking FL. I CAL...
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