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2016 Postmortem

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts) Fri Jul 22, 2016, 11:23 PM Jul 2016

7

Nate Silver on twitter tonight

Don't think people are really grasping how plausible it is that Trump could become president. It's a close election right now.

13 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Nate Silver on twitter tonight (Original Post) Laura PourMeADrink Jul 2016 OP

Been saying that for some time Duckhunter935 Jul 2016 #1

I'm not worried. Trump will be smashed. Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #7

Do those even count as swing states? Lord Magus Jul 2016 #11

Your choice Duckhunter935 Jul 2016 #13

Take nothing for granted. TDale313 Jul 2016 #2

He is incorrect. Loki Liesmith Jul 2016 #3

And he is the best in the business. Wishing does not make it so. nt Logical Jul 2016 #4

He can be wrong MFM008 Jul 2016 #5

Of course he can win. And he might. It is terrifying that our country might turn to this man. StevieM Jul 2016 #6

There isn't a presidential race that isn't going to be called close KingFlorez Jul 2016 #8

The polls are tight and we still don't know how big Trump's RNC bounce will be. RAFisher Jul 2016 #9

YEP Cosmocat Jul 2016 #12

Too soon to say who will be voting. Let's overthrow the Republican Congress. #YesWeKaine L. Coyote Jul 2016 #10

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)

1. Been saying that for some time

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Fri Jul 22, 2016, 11:27 PM

Jul 2016

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

7. I'm not worried. Trump will be smashed.

Reply to Duckhunter935 (Reply #1)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 01:55 AM

Jul 2016

I'm thinking Hillary wins every swing state except for Indiana and Missouri...

Lord Magus

(1,999 posts)

11. Do those even count as swing states?

Reply to Cali_Democrat (Reply #7)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 02:38 AM

Jul 2016

Indiana is solid red now regardless of what it was like 8 years ago.

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)

13. Your choice

Reply to Cali_Democrat (Reply #7)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 09:21 AM

Jul 2016

That is the same thinking they had about him being the nominee. Guess who is the nominee, lol

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

2. Take nothing for granted.

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Fri Jul 22, 2016, 11:28 PM

Jul 2016

This isn't a sure thing, and we should be prepared for a tough fight. Trump cannot be allowed to win.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

3. He is incorrect.

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Fri Jul 22, 2016, 11:31 PM

Jul 2016

There is no election "right now" to be close.

All Silver's models do is make a (hopefully) good guess at the risk of certain outcomes. They do not tell us who is winning or losing.

Logical

(22,457 posts)

4. And he is the best in the business. Wishing does not make it so. nt

Reply to Loki Liesmith (Reply #3)

Fri Jul 22, 2016, 11:35 PM

Jul 2016

MFM008

(19,816 posts)

5. He can be wrong

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 01:41 AM

Jul 2016

He said the Seahawks were a shoo in to win the super bowl 49.
We lost.
Noone is perfect.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)

6. Of course he can win. And he might. It is terrifying that our country might turn to this man.

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 01:54 AM

Jul 2016

He is a diabolical demagogue.

But we have made insane decisions before. We have been successfully manipulate before.

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)

8. There isn't a presidential race that isn't going to be called close

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 01:57 AM

Jul 2016

It's the standard line all the time and it keeps people reading articles. This race won't be close, not even remotely. It will take hard work to win, though.

RAFisher

(466 posts)

9. The polls are tight and we still don't know how big Trump's RNC bounce will be.

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 02:14 AM

Jul 2016

I hope the RNC ends up giving Clinton a bounce. But we don't know that. The polling in the next couple weeks will really tell us what direction this election is going.

Cosmocat

(14,566 posts)

12. YEP

Reply to RAFisher (Reply #9)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 08:01 AM

Jul 2016

Ive posted the same exact there here and other places countless times, have to give a few weeks after philly to see what polling looks like.

L. Coyote

(51,129 posts)

10. Too soon to say who will be voting. Let's overthrow the Republican Congress. #YesWeKaine

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sat Jul 23, 2016, 02:28 AM

Jul 2016

How many millions can we bring to the polls? #StrongerTogether

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