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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDrew Linzer- election-day-forecast-obama-332-romney-206/
http://votamatic.org/election-day-forecast-obama-332-romney-206/#comments
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Drew Linzer- election-day-forecast-obama-332-romney-206/ (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Nov 2012
OP
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)1. See -- I told you Nate Silver was crazy
He only had 303.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)2. I Thought Silver Had 332
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)3. It depends on how you count it
His EV projection was 313. But if you look at probabilities for individual states, you might come up with a bigger number.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)4. So Linzer Nailed It 100%/nt
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)5. 10 rught-wingers who got it hilariously wrong
NCLefty
(3,678 posts)6. That's a great link!
We really had a contest between the reality-based community, and a conservative movement that had convinced itself that Obama was so heinous that there was simply no way the American people could possibly re-elect him. Progressives read the polling averages, and read Nate Silver to stave off the anxiety created by a beltway media intent on making the race appear to be a toss-up. As conservatives slept, they dreamed of Ronald Reagan's electoral maps, all painted red, and a defeated, weak Democrat limping off the field of battle, chastened by Real America.
They say the only poll that counts is the final one. And it has revealed a number of conservative pundits people who make their living gauging the state of the race to be utterly clueless. So join us, as we take a tour of their wild swings-and-misses. Enjoy the Schadenfreude!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)7. Did Drew Say That?
I wish I had a professor like him but I wasn't smart enough to go to Emory.