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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:25 AM Nov 2012

So How did Ras do with their final state polls?

(In their final polls they gave Romney leads in Virginia, Florida, Colorado & Iowa and gave the GOP candidate for Gov of NH a 2-point lead and he went on to lose by 13! His other polls had a distinct GOP tilt when compared to the final results in almost all the other states. Yet, unlike the very accurate PPP, 'The House of Ras' isn't identified as a GOP pollster!):

RAS Final State Polls:

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (actual result Obama 52-47)

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 50%, Mandel (R) 48% (Current result Brown 50-45)

Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49% (Current result Obama 50-48)

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 47% (Actual result Kaine 52-48)

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Actual result Obama 51-48)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Actual Obama 54-46)

Indiana Senate: Donnelly (D) 45%, Mourdock (R) 42% (Actual Donnelly 50-44)

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 49%, Rehberg (R) 48% (Current result Tester 49-45)

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 48% (Actual result Baldwin 51-46)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Actual result Obama 53-46)

Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (Actual result Obama 52-46)

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Current result Obama 51-47)

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 51%, McMahon (R) 45% (Actual result Murphy 55-43)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (current result Obama 50-49)

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 49%, Mack (R) 46% (Actual result Nelson 55-42)

New Hampshire Governor: Lamontagne (R) 48%, Hassan (D) 46% (Actual result was Hassan 55-43)

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46% (actual 51-48 Romney)

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So How did Ras do with their final state polls? (Original Post) WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP
As expected, he underestimates democrats by 2-3 points if not more. LisaL Nov 2012 #1
yep, pretty much as expected. WI_DEM Nov 2012 #3
100% of his predictions gave the Dems too few and/or the Repubs too many. 100%. And he is 100% Happyhippychick Nov 2012 #2

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
1. As expected, he underestimates democrats by 2-3 points if not more.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:27 AM
Nov 2012

So if we add 2 points to his results for D he is pretty accurate.

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