2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSo How did Ras do with their final state polls?
(In their final polls they gave Romney leads in Virginia, Florida, Colorado & Iowa and gave the GOP candidate for Gov of NH a 2-point lead and he went on to lose by 13! His other polls had a distinct GOP tilt when compared to the final results in almost all the other states. Yet, unlike the very accurate PPP, 'The House of Ras' isn't identified as a GOP pollster!):
RAS Final State Polls:
New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (actual result Obama 52-47)
Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 50%, Mandel (R) 48% (Current result Brown 50-45)
Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49% (Current result Obama 50-48)
Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 47% (Actual result Kaine 52-48)
Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Actual result Obama 51-48)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Actual Obama 54-46)
Indiana Senate: Donnelly (D) 45%, Mourdock (R) 42% (Actual Donnelly 50-44)
Montana Senate: Tester (D) 49%, Rehberg (R) 48% (Current result Tester 49-45)
Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 48% (Actual result Baldwin 51-46)
Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Actual result Obama 53-46)
Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (Actual result Obama 52-46)
Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Current result Obama 51-47)
Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 51%, McMahon (R) 45% (Actual result Murphy 55-43)
Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (current result Obama 50-49)
Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 49%, Mack (R) 46% (Actual result Nelson 55-42)
New Hampshire Governor: Lamontagne (R) 48%, Hassan (D) 46% (Actual result was Hassan 55-43)
North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46% (actual 51-48 Romney)
LisaL
(44,974 posts)So if we add 2 points to his results for D he is pretty accurate.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Happyhippychick
(8,379 posts)WRONG