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2016 Postmortem

cynatnite

(31,011 posts) Thu Jul 28, 2016, 03:08 PM Jul 2016

2

Post convention bounce predictions...

I wouldn't be surprised if Hillary gets a 10 point bump.

Trump will drop at least 5 percentage points.

What's your prediction?

5 replies

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Post convention bounce predictions... (Original Post) cynatnite Jul 2016 OP

In Monday's polls.. Hillary will be up 5 to 7 points scheming daemons Jul 2016 #1

Hillary up by an average of two points Loki Liesmith Jul 2016 #2

Bump winetourdriver Jul 2016 #3

i am predicting 8-10 points. plus the state polls should show a broad path to victory La Lioness Priyanka Jul 2016 #4

Up and mixed Reiyuki Jul 2016 #5

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)

1. In Monday's polls.. Hillary will be up 5 to 7 points

Reply to cynatnite (Original post)

Thu Jul 28, 2016, 03:09 PM

Jul 2016

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

2. Hillary up by an average of two points

Reply to cynatnite (Original post)

Thu Jul 28, 2016, 03:18 PM

Jul 2016

Everyone here will panic.

winetourdriver

(196 posts)

3. Bump

Reply to cynatnite (Original post)

Thu Jul 28, 2016, 03:21 PM

Jul 2016

I've thought for a while that, post conventions, Hillary's numbers would start a slow but steady climb, with the reverse for Trump.

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)

4. i am predicting 8-10 points. plus the state polls should show a broad path to victory

Reply to cynatnite (Original post)

Thu Jul 28, 2016, 03:22 PM

Jul 2016

Reiyuki

(96 posts)

5. Up and mixed

Reply to cynatnite (Original post)

Thu Jul 28, 2016, 05:57 PM

Jul 2016

Some polls will show 5-8pt gain starting next mon/tues, while some will remain roughly the same.

It will depend on the poll and methodology, I'd guess that the older traditional polls will show the larger swing.

Just my analytical guess.

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