St. Louis Post Dispatch Poll of Missouri: HRC 41% Trump 40%

(This poll was conducted just prior to the Democratic Convention)

WASHINGTON • Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a virtual tie in Missouri, according to a new Post-Dispatch poll.

A survey of 625 likely voters conducted last weekend shows the Democrat Clinton with 41 percent to the Republican Trump’s 40 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9 percent. The telephone poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

In the poll, 45 percent of voters had an unfavorable view of Clinton, while 42 percent had a favorable opinion. Trump’s corresponding numbers were 51 percent unfavorable, 33 percent favorable.

Just under half of white voters supported Trump; nearly one in three supported Clinton, with one in 10 supporting Johnson and a similar percentage undecided. Clinton got the support of virtually all the black respondents.

One significant finding: One in 10 self-identified Republicans favored Johnson, the former governor of New Mexico. One of six independents said they supported Johnson.

Virtually no Democrats said they supported Johnson. Clinton has the support of almost nine of 10 Democrats.

Clinton is winning voters under 35 decisively, and the two candidates are virtually tied among likely voters between 35 and 64. Trump wins as decisively among Missouri voters over 65 as Clinton does among those under 35.

he Post-Dispatch poll, conducted between the national political conventions July 23-24, showed a much closer contest than those done earlier this month by KSDK/Survey USA and Public Policy Polling. Both showed a 10-point Trump advantage in Missouri.

Coker’s sample was made up of 35 percent self-identified Democrats, 34 percent Republicans and 31 percent independents. Coker said independents tend to lean Republican in Missouri. Romney won 59 percent of self-identified independents in Missouri in 2012, according to exit polls for the New York Times — the largest percentage of independents won by Romney of 18 states polled.

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/trump-clinton-in-virtual-tie-in-missouri/article_ecbca03a-ea36-5bef-bf8c-fcb817cc7c31.html