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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat Are Clinton’s Chances?
Here are the latest forecasts showing Hillary Clintons chance of winning the presidential election:
* FiveThirtyEight: 70%
* Sam Wang: 80%
* The Upshot: 74%
* PredictWise: 78%
https://politicalwire.com/2016/08/03/what-are-clintons-chances/
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What Are Clinton’s Chances? (Original Post)
DonViejo
Aug 2016
OP
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)1. the betting markets are usually always correct
oberliner
(58,724 posts)3. They were wrong about Trump
Spectacularly so.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)4. i never pay attention to gop candidates...and their primaries
Demsrule86
(68,715 posts)2. Wang was actually better than FiveThirtyEight in 12. He predicted it almost exactly as it turned out