2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDon't look at a single poll. Look at a bunch at once. Like this bunch, with a 6.9% average spread.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.htmlMFM008
(19,808 posts)brings down the average of the good polls.
Like the new Reuters poll.
If he were truly just 3 points behind it will mean mass hypnosis
or a total nervous breakdown is happening
in this country.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)But they've been shown to manipulate the polls they put in their average.
The ABC WAPO poll will have her over +7 in the RCP and the internals are devastating to Trump.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)They proved to be much more accurate in 2012. RCP had a tie going into election day 2012 and obama won by almost 5 points. They have a right wing slant.
As for the reuters poll, like the la times they are an experimental online poll. Both are erratic and move at random. I dont trust them and neither do most aggregate sites
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)which is similar to the worthless Dornsife poll.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)All polls that are garbage.