2016 Postmortem

grossproffit

(5,591 posts) Sun Aug 7, 2016, 12:36 AM Aug 2016

Clinton up by 8. Hits 50%. Clinton Gains with Women, Democrats As Trump Struggles on Temperament

ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Aug. 7, 2016

Hillary Clinton has advanced among women and consolidated support within her party since her
nominating convention, while a difficult few weeks have left Donald Trump still struggling on
basic ratings from his temperament to his qualifications for office. She leads him by 8 points in a
new ABC News/Washington Post poll.

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1180a1The2016Election.pdf

7 replies

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Clinton up by 8. Hits 50%. Clinton Gains with Women, Democrats As Trump Struggles on Temperament (Original Post) grossproffit Aug 2016 OP

good. MFM008 Aug 2016 #1

He would not get my vote if he was the DNC nominee, we can not afford a unfit person like him to be Thinkingabout Aug 2016 #2

Good news. Thanks for sharing. writes3000 Aug 2016 #3

Dim Din doubled his support with AAs Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #4

+90 CobaltBlue Aug 2016 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author Midnight Writer Aug 2016 #5

Crosstabs CobaltBlue Aug 2016 #6

MFM008

(19,808 posts)

1. good.

Reply to grossproffit (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 01:11 AM

Aug 2016

every day she stays ahead she is not behind .
Especially bigly...........

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

2. He would not get my vote if he was the DNC nominee, we can not afford a unfit person like him to be

Reply to grossproffit (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 01:18 AM

Aug 2016

president. He is having fun and probably laughing at those who have voted for him and who supports him.

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

3. Good news. Thanks for sharing.

Reply to grossproffit (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 01:38 AM

Aug 2016

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)

4. Dim Din doubled his support with AAs

Reply to grossproffit (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 01:47 AM

Aug 2016

From 1% all the way up to 2%. Ben Carson must have a family member who has signed on.

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)

7. +90

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #4)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 06:30 AM

Aug 2016

That is actually a similar level margin as Barack Obama in 2008. I think I recall it as +91—that is, Obama 95% • John McCain 4%.

In 2012, Obama won Blacks by +87—that is, Obama 93% • Romney 6%.

This poll indicates even better Democratic support here in 2016.

Response to grossproffit (Original post)

Midnight Writer This message was self-deleted by its author.

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)

6. Crosstabs

Reply to grossproffit (Original post)

Sun Aug 7, 2016, 06:25 AM

Aug 2016

Hillary holds same-party support 15 points better than Trump.

His white voters’ support is +12. (In 2012, Mitt Romney carried them nationally by +20.)

She leads with voters 65+. But he leads with voters 30 to, say, 44. (It would usually play out as the opposite.)

The gender gap is +33. (That is outside the norm. In 2008, it was +12. In 2012, it was +19. If she were to win nationally by +8 or even better—over +10—I would predict her to carry both genders. Barack Obama did that in 2008—he won by +7.26 and carried men by +1 and women by +13 nationally.)

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