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BREAKING: New Quinnipiac Battleground State polls (Original Post) brooklynite Aug 2016 OP
Are there that many morons in these states liberal N proud Aug 2016 #1
We've got a few of these in the southern part of Ohio... Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #8
I know, Ohio is West Virgina North liberal N proud Aug 2016 #12
Yeah... there's "pockets" of them scattered here and there too. n/t Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #13
As a side note, I've noticed that many areas that had... Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #19
Pennsyltucky underpants Aug 2016 #15
I've got in-laws in the "T" of PA as they call it and the stupid flows like the Susquehanna River. TeamPooka Aug 2016 #21
Here're a couple from WI and KY. Hortensis Aug 2016 #22
Yeah, I know. Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #25
Speaking of Deliverance... Hortensis Aug 2016 #28
It was filmed in Georgia, right? Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #30
When I first visited the South I was struck by the blank, Hortensis Aug 2016 #32
It indicates there is a lot racists in the country. That is why it is critical to GOTV, and no one still_one Aug 2016 #14
PA is fool's gold once again for Republicans. Ace Rothstein Aug 2016 #2
But its Quinnipiac, so the spread is actually much larger. JaneyVee Aug 2016 #3
How the hell can this be? Too damn close in FL and Ohio! PearliePoo2 Aug 2016 #4
Coming from a RW pollster, I'll take it. stopbush Aug 2016 #5
The last Q-poll for Florida had Trump up by 5 VMA131Marine Aug 2016 #6
Haahaa..Q was called out earlier today. misterhighwasted Aug 2016 #7
Trump needs all 3,right? NT helpisontheway Aug 2016 #9
Yes he does. Kber Aug 2016 #17
Chile please.....Florida is not that close. UMTerp01 Aug 2016 #10
Trump is down in Quinnipiac's, Rassmussen's, and Fox News' polls.... SaschaHM Aug 2016 #11
PA no longer a battle ground state Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #16
Note that 538 considers Quinnipiac to have a very strong pro-GOP house effect. DanTex Aug 2016 #18
That is about as good as we're ever going to get from Q, so I'll take it n/t Godhumor Aug 2016 #20
Johnson and Stein triron Aug 2016 #23
If Trump can't show a lead even in Qunnipiac polls, MineralMan Aug 2016 #24
Nate Silver says add 4 points to Clintons numbera for quinn Doctor Jack Aug 2016 #26
Yeah, he determines the "house effect" for each pollster for his models. NT Adrahil Aug 2016 #29
These numbers make me smile Gothmog Aug 2016 #27
and that's the good news for Trump, given Q's tilt nt geek tragedy Aug 2016 #31
NW FL is really south Alabama, except Tallahassee (Fl State U) Motley13 Aug 2016 #33
Looks like Trump's dream of Pennsylvania like in past years book_worm Aug 2016 #34

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,858 posts)
8. We've got a few of these in the southern part of Ohio...
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:50 PM
Aug 2016


Look at nearby West Virginia and Kentucky.

I went fishing at a place called Paint Creek Lake several years ago, and the people around there acted like they despised me and my "Yankee accent."

liberal N proud

(60,348 posts)
12. I know, Ohio is West Virgina North
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:52 PM
Aug 2016

I live west of Cleveland and a couple of the communities are called suburbs or West Virginia

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,858 posts)
19. As a side note, I've noticed that many areas that had...
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:02 PM
Aug 2016

... coal mines are full of them.

The area around Paint Creek Lake that I mentioned used to be a big coal mining area.

I feel some pity for them too because I know that they and their ancestors have/had some pretty rough lives.

underpants

(182,957 posts)
15. Pennsyltucky
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:54 PM
Aug 2016

As a native of Pittsburgh once told me

"There's Philly and Pittsburgh and a whole lot of Alabama in between"
-James Carville

TeamPooka

(24,273 posts)
21. I've got in-laws in the "T" of PA as they call it and the stupid flows like the Susquehanna River.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:09 PM
Aug 2016

Very rural area.
I found it quite shocking the first few times I went out there after having spent lots of time in Philly and Pitts.
Lack of respect for people of color, unions, and any sort of education or teachers.
But they sure like complaining about shit.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
22. Here're a couple from WI and KY.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:10 PM
Aug 2016


I don't have a picture of some trumpsters in my garden club, but if I did it'd look something like this.


I don't know these people at a church picnic in Georgia either, but there are no doubt some trumpsters there, and at least a few about now having some serious doubts. (Asking's become rather bad manners.)


THIS is what they look like.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,858 posts)
25. Yeah, I know.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:19 PM
Aug 2016

I get a kick out of making some Deliverance references sometimes.

Southern Ohio indeed tends to have a larger share of them than many other places that I've seen.

I went fishing with a buddy down there, and he was truly frightened by them and their general animosity toward us. LOL! He said that I'd need to ask them for directions if necessary because he wasn't going to do it again.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
28. Speaking of Deliverance...
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:29 PM
Aug 2016

A lot of it was filmed in this area. There's also an area in the mountains not far away that my realtor refused to go into to show listings. I did go myself just to cross one with a wonderful view off the list, but all I saw in the woods was probable druggies/meth-makers who couldn't afford the city. Expressionless glances but I didn't slow down to check for animosity.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,858 posts)
30. It was filmed in Georgia, right?
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:35 PM
Aug 2016

Here's another personal story, but the sampling is so small that it probably means NOTHING.

When I was in Atlanta for a conference several years ago, I detected some leeriness from black people when I walked into gas stations and the like (I'm super-white). As soon as I spoke, they acted so nice and friendly! It was pretty much the opposite of what I experienced in Southern Ohio (from white people there).

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
32. When I first visited the South I was struck by the blank,
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:57 PM
Aug 2016

extremely reserved faces, eyes that didn't see me, of some black people I'd interact with in stores, etc. Extremely different from California. Both a defensive and an offensive mien depending on the person.

still_one

(92,479 posts)
14. It indicates there is a lot racists in the country. That is why it is critical to GOTV, and no one
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:54 PM
Aug 2016

should assume anything.

National polls should never be relied on for Presidential elections where states determine who the President will be through the electoral college

VMA131Marine

(4,158 posts)
6. The last Q-poll for Florida had Trump up by 5
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:48 PM
Aug 2016

They still seem to be an outlier.

The OH number seems consistent with other polls though fivethirtyeight doesn't show any polls more recent than July 24

 

UMTerp01

(1,048 posts)
10. Chile please.....Florida is not that close.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:50 PM
Aug 2016

Latinos are more in Florida than their representation as a whole in the country and there's no way Florida is that close. You tried it Quinnipiac

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
11. Trump is down in Quinnipiac's, Rassmussen's, and Fox News' polls....
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:51 PM
Aug 2016



Clinton being 1 point down in FL in Q's poll is actually a very good thing given how they've skewed towards Trump.

Johnny2X2X

(19,213 posts)
16. PA no longer a battle ground state
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 02:57 PM
Aug 2016

And without PA there is no way for Trump to win save for flipping some reliably blue states.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
18. Note that 538 considers Quinnipiac to have a very strong pro-GOP house effect.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:01 PM
Aug 2016

They haven't incorporated these polls into their model yet, but the last Quinnipiac polls, they adjusted for the house effect with +5 for Hillary.

triron

(22,027 posts)
23. Johnson and Stein
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:11 PM
Aug 2016

Seems the effect of adding Johnson and Stein almost always decreases Clinton's lead. For instance when they are included Florida is a tie. Wonder if Stein is actually the one pulling votes from Clinton (net)?

MineralMan

(146,339 posts)
24. If Trump can't show a lead even in Qunnipiac polls,
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:14 PM
Aug 2016

he's losing badly in those states. Not good news for The Donald™.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
26. Nate Silver says add 4 points to Clintons numbera for quinn
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 03:21 PM
Aug 2016

They have a consistant trend towards republicans. So he says its Florida +5, Ohio +8, Penn +13

Motley13

(3,867 posts)
33. NW FL is really south Alabama, except Tallahassee (Fl State U)
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 05:11 PM
Aug 2016

Our Latinos are mostly Cuban, many of them repug, however Miami votes Democratic as does Palm Beach & Broward (Fort Lauderdale).

Many Latino reps in Miami, although repug, do not support the maggot.

Orlando has been going Dem lately & Gainesville is Dem (U of FL), & Tampa

2008, 2012 were close, Obama winning by 61,000 in 08, 73,000 in 12.

VOTE, VOTE for HER












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