2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYabba Dabba Doo- BATTLEGROUND POLLS!!!
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Mark MurrayVerified account
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New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls
CO: HRC 46, Trump 32 (+14)
FL: HRC 44, Trump 39 (+5)
NC: HRC 48, Trump 39 (+9)
VA: HRC 46, Trump 33 (+13)
Aug 4-10
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)auntpurl
(4,311 posts)Would like to get Florida up higher, but those numbers are great!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Thank you!
LonePirate
(13,424 posts)Blue Idaho
(5,049 posts)John Harwood on M$NBC just agreed with you. Time to take those states off the list of battleground states... Add them to the HRC column.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)It is nice to see strong numbers, but this game is still in the first quarter.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)The general election doesn't start on Labor Day. Opinions begin to solidify beginning with the conventions. Hillary and her team understand that. Trump doesn't. Too bad for him.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)nt
AllyCat
(16,189 posts)I'll wait
amuse bouche
(3,657 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)evillemike2009
(13 posts)But don't get happy
Get to work
Find a campaign office and help out
If we want anything done on anything even vaguely resembling a Progressive Agenda, then we gotta send people to DC who'll put constant pressure on the Executive to push for it.
Stay together
Work together
Get shit done
riversedge
(70,239 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)packman
(16,296 posts)Pray to the gods to make it a tsunami of change.
MFM008
(19,814 posts)Making America BLUE again.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)He's behind in all of those states ans way behind in CO and NV.
He cannot win without all 6 of the states I listed and he likely won't win one of them. Hillary has to win one of these states to win election.
Based on the odds by state on Upshot, Trump has a 0.07% chance to win all 6 of these states, Hillary has a 99.93% chance of winning at least one of those 6 states.
Outside of sweeping these 6 states, Trump would have to flip some states he has almost no shot in, like WI, MI, or PA.
Liberal_in_LA
(44,397 posts)lark
(23,103 posts)So glad to see my batshit state, FL, in the HRC column. Maybe there is hope for us yet? OMG, +13 in VA and +14 in CO, that is so awesome. Wonder what the spread is in OH, PA and AZ? AZ, can't believe we even have a chance there, but that's the Drumpf effect for you. Pick a murder enciting, killed veteran's family disdaining, woman hating racist and what do you get if you are the repug party? Hopefully, monumental losses at every stage of government is what they will reap from their ignorance and crazy promoting actions all these years.
Of course, we can't rest on our laurels, GOTV is still mandatory.
auntpurl
(4,311 posts)I mean, I'm glad she's up in the poll, but...what's with all the Trump support? Don't you have a lot of Latinos and elderly Jewish liberals down there? I've only been to Miami - have I got it wrong?
lark
(23,103 posts)No. FL is VERY military and redneck, lots of Tealiban fundamentalists here. Central FL tends to be more yuppie and very purple. So. FL. is Democratic, that's where we have large Jewish populations and very Hispanic as well. However, the repugs totally own and control the state legislature and have for ages. With people like DWS in power of FL democratic party, you can understand why it's almost non-existent, and so very weak. It's infuriating.
BumRushDaShow
(129,062 posts)(2012 election results)
In my county about 33% of registered voters are Dem and about 45% are Rs. There are around 29 candidates running for various local and state offices but only 3 are Dems, and even that's more than we've had in a while.
lark
(23,103 posts)I'm in red Duval county, what county do you live in?
I'm in Highlands. Originally from Dade.
secondwind
(16,903 posts)Thanks!
calimary
(81,304 posts)Good to hear that at least a few Dems are stepping up. Hey, in an election season as flaky as this one, you never know - a Democrat may have a chance or two!
maxrandb
(15,331 posts)I have seen no effort to tie Florida's Green Slimy Beaches and the explosion of the Zika Virus around the neck of the Republican Party where it belongs. How much is that costing the state of FL in tourism dollars alone?
If disease and pestilence isn't enough to turn the voters against the Republican Party, what will?
Oh, that's right, Hate Radio will just tell them that it's the liberals, hippies, minorities and dope-smokers fault.
lark
(23,103 posts)They are destroying my beautiful state for the profits of themselves and the other 1%ers.
maxrandb
(15,331 posts)somewhere other than the pages of DU, wouldn't it?
lark
(23,103 posts)Still can't believe he won twice here, how sickening is that? Wish we had a semblance of a Dem party organization here.
NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)i used to live in Tampa, and almost every station of every genre was virulently RW. This was not AM radio, just your run of hte mill pop, rock music stations.
I"m VERY glad to see the FL polls!
lark
(23,103 posts)There's almost zero talk in the local fish-wrap about scott cutting mosquito funds just as zika was coming, then blaming the fed government, same as he did with health care. He's not human, he's Voldemort personified
The Great Escape
(1,235 posts)I thought that would be a blue pocket in North Florida.
lark
(23,103 posts)There are 2 major factions, teabaggers, christian fundamentalists and blacks and the first outnumbers the later in voting, usually. Guess where there is a lack of polling places, hint, it's not in the suburbs. With early voting, think the dems are very close to even, and maybe will outnumber the crazies? I'm one of the few white libs here, most of my friends that I talk politics to are black.
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Is about to go blue for the 3rd straight time. So not totally batshit crazy.
lark
(23,103 posts)but way too close for comfort. My boss is a true repug, but basically a seemingly sane person, and she;s voting for drumpf, thinks hrc is worse. She's not a racist, is ok with people of other religions, has a Masters degree and her husband is a surgeon, but is so blinded by 30 years of rw hate that she totally won't vote for HRC. The teabaggers at work also support him. The black and hispanic folks do not support him at all, that's whats saving this state, not the white people. I am the exception, the rare liberal in No. FL.
I have friends- pro-choice, not problems with LGBT and not overtly racist still voting for trump. They totally ate up the whole right wing economic bullshit and think government is the problem.
They say that the whole abortion and gay rights thing is just to fool the religious nuts and it will never happen so voting on those issues is silly. They refuse to see that a different Supreme Court could change things and that the republicans would happily strip rights away. It is all about low taxes and less government and these are by no means rich people
Where in Florida are you?
lark
(23,103 posts)Redneckville
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)But at least you are not in Dixie county! Great fishing but the only place I have ever seen an out-right racist bumper sticker. Not dog whistle but in your face.
rivegauche
(601 posts)napkinz
(17,199 posts)axiom3
(54 posts)Trump's advantages in the battleground states are pretty much gone now. Heck, he's even losing in some states that are GOP strongholds, with even Missouri within HRC's reach. It'd take a miracle for that cheeto-faced idiot to have any chance at this point.
calimary
(81,304 posts)Here's hoping these trends stay solid and steady.
Gamecock Lefty
(700 posts)Earn every vote, take nothing for granted.
And on Nov 9 Trump can say, "I was just kidding around about this Presidency thing!"
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)OldRedneck
(1,397 posts)Curtland1015
(4,404 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,062 posts)uponit7771
(90,346 posts)GoDawgs
(267 posts)Drivin' that Trump train, high on meth and oxycodone
It doesn't rhyme as well as the Grateful Dead song
retrowire
(10,345 posts)greenman3610
(3,947 posts)ColesCountyDem
(6,943 posts)Northeastern Iowa, the Mississippi River counties, the Des Moines metro and the Council Bluffs area are fairly Democratic, although the state has roughly equal Democratic and Republican voter registration numbers.
Iowa is very racially homogeneous, although there are increasing numbers of Hispanic voters. People shouldn't over-analyze Iowa. It is largely rural, has (or had, at one time) the nation's highest literacy rate and is moderately conservative, although there is a deep 'populist' streak in the electorate. Iowa is also fairly religious, even among Democrats.
Iowa has long been purple, and is likely to remain so.
avebury
(10,952 posts)the Democratic campaigns with his 50 state strategy. Make the Republicans burn up their money trying to keep Congress from slipping out of their control. If you prod Cheetoh man so that he keeps shooting the Republicans in the foot, hopefully more races will become competitive. Getting control of the Senate is critical in getting any Supreme Court nominations through. Otherwise, the Republicans will refuse to bring anybody up for consideration.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Landslide anyone?
mcar
(42,334 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)livetohike
(22,145 posts)Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)GoDawgs
(267 posts)Does it still make a noise?
ananda
(28,865 posts)Keepin my fingers crossed for Clinton and
BOTH houses in November!
WatchWhatISay
(3,426 posts)Tells me there are a lot of maladjusted people out there.
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)in the total numbers. The demographics are devastating across the board for Trump.
still_one
(92,213 posts)dubyadiprecession
(5,711 posts)Since i'm not. I hope south carolina and georgia solidify as a nice dark shade of blue.
Yabba dabba doo!! Trump is screwed!!
TexasTowelie
(112,223 posts)It's nice to see news like this.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,234 posts)Joisey Boy
(55 posts)But the election is still almost 3 months away. Let's be cautious in our optimism, because
writes3000
(4,734 posts)Very interesting stats about the demographics in these states. Very encouraging for Hillary!
And the President is very popular in all of these states as well.
fierywoman
(7,684 posts)Since we're well aware that He Who Shall Not Be Named speaks virtually only in projections (that psychological behavior where someone who hates something about himself accuses another of his own --unconscious -- failings), can't we assume that when he says that if Hillary wins PA that she could only do it by cheating, that in reality what he is saying is, "I could only win PA by cheating and rigging the election." ?
Haveadream
(1,630 posts)Thank you for this, DSB!! Those numbers are incredible!
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)TheDebbieDee
(11,119 posts)Michael Moore is right about one thing - we can't allow ourselves to become overconfident!