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Yabba Dabba Doo- BATTLEGROUND POLLS!!! (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2016 OP
Kick. Agschmid Aug 2016 #1
Holy moley NC and VA!!! auntpurl Aug 2016 #2
Very nice, indeed! MineralMan Aug 2016 #3
These may be the last polls we see of CO and VA. They are no longer battlegrounds in this election. LonePirate Aug 2016 #4
The talking heads agree... Blue Idaho Aug 2016 #6
If the NC result holds another week or so that one is fairly safe also for Hillary. yellowcanine Aug 2016 #15
Let's not get cocky. It isn't even Labor Day yet. BlueStreak Aug 2016 #62
Two weeks after the conventions. By historical standards Clinton is in very good shape. yellowcanine Aug 2016 #65
Never mind the pundits. They never were battlegrounds. :) Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2016 #41
Can't wait for those to get plugged into the Nate Silver model bluestateguy Aug 2016 #5
I was just going to look there. Since you already have, AllyCat Aug 2016 #8
Fabulous amuse bouche Aug 2016 #7
Woo Whoo!!! lunamagica Aug 2016 #9
Battleground Polls evillemike2009 Aug 2016 #10
Excellant. Do not take anything or state for granted. riversedge Aug 2016 #51
Wowser! MoonRiver Aug 2016 #11
I just hope this carries over to Senate/House seats packman Aug 2016 #12
Donald Rump MFM008 Aug 2016 #43
Trump has to sweep NC, CO, FL, IA, OH, and NV to win Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #13
Good Liberal_in_LA Aug 2016 #64
Whoohoo!! lark Aug 2016 #14
What is up with Florida, anyway? auntpurl Aug 2016 #16
FL is two states in 1. lark Aug 2016 #18
Illustration BumRushDaShow Aug 2016 #25
Agree FLleft Aug 2016 #26
Welcome to DU! lark Aug 2016 #31
Thanks FLleft Aug 2016 #38
Welcome to DU, FLleft! secondwind Aug 2016 #34
Thanks! FLleft Aug 2016 #40
Welcome to DU, FLleft! calimary Aug 2016 #49
Unfortunately maxrandb Aug 2016 #28
It's Voldemort and the Death Eaters fault. lark Aug 2016 #30
It would be nice to see that point made maxrandb Aug 2016 #36
Absolutely! lark Aug 2016 #37
There's a LOT of Hate Radio in FL NastyRiffraff Aug 2016 #56
You totally get it. lark Aug 2016 #75
What is the deal with Jacksonville/Duval County? The Great Escape Aug 2016 #73
No. lark Aug 2016 #74
Our batshit crazy state GulfCoast66 Aug 2016 #68
Not totally, lark Aug 2016 #69
I know GulfCoast66 Aug 2016 #70
Duval county lark Aug 2016 #72
Well yeah GulfCoast66 Aug 2016 #77
Yeah!! Florida, welcome home! eom rivegauche Aug 2016 #17
K&R! napkinz Aug 2016 #19
Awesome news axiom3 Aug 2016 #20
Welcome to DU, axiom3! calimary Aug 2016 #50
Let's keep hammering away!!! Gamecock Lefty Aug 2016 #21
K&R! DemonGoddess Aug 2016 #22
Confidential sources have leaked this photo of Trump "campaign" staff meeting. OldRedneck Aug 2016 #23
Trump crashed the train, but didn't bother showing up for the meeting. Curtland1015 Aug 2016 #24
There was some video leaked too BumRushDaShow Aug 2016 #29
+1 uponit7771 Aug 2016 #47
Casey Jones you better watch your speed GoDawgs Aug 2016 #58
good job nc. youre proving you have some sense for once. nt retrowire Aug 2016 #27
how can Iowa still be a toss up? greenman3610 Aug 2016 #32
Iowa is essentially two states: ColesCountyDem Aug 2016 #67
This is when I wish Howard Dean was overseeing avebury Aug 2016 #33
Democratic wave election on the way! workinclasszero Aug 2016 #35
Woo hoo! mcar Aug 2016 #39
K&R! stonecutter357 Aug 2016 #42
WOW! Thanks for posting this. n/t livetohike Aug 2016 #44
CNN is in meltdown. Spitfire of ATJ Aug 2016 #45
If CNN melts down & nobody watches GoDawgs Aug 2016 #57
Boy, sometimes I wish the election were this week! ananda Aug 2016 #46
I still cant believe its this close WatchWhatISay Aug 2016 #48
Dive into the demographics, it really isn't that close at all... I don't even think the extent shows JCMach1 Aug 2016 #61
WOW!!! Thanks DSB still_one Aug 2016 #52
Viewing this news would ruin my friday night if i were a trump supporter... dubyadiprecession Aug 2016 #53
K&R. TexasTowelie Aug 2016 #54
Drumpf didn't understand that his YUGE rallies only represented a small slice of the electorate. Tarheel_Dem Aug 2016 #55
Good news Joisey Boy Aug 2016 #59
Steve Kornacki just did a great deep dive into these polls explaining the results. writes3000 Aug 2016 #60
fair is foul and foul is fair fierywoman Aug 2016 #63
K&R! Haveadream Aug 2016 #66
Boink! Scurrilous Aug 2016 #71
There's still 86 days left til Election Day! TheDebbieDee Aug 2016 #76

Blue Idaho

(5,049 posts)
6. The talking heads agree...
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 11:39 AM
Aug 2016

John Harwood on M$NBC just agreed with you. Time to take those states off the list of battleground states... Add them to the HRC column.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
62. Let's not get cocky. It isn't even Labor Day yet.
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 12:55 AM
Aug 2016

It is nice to see strong numbers, but this game is still in the first quarter.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
65. Two weeks after the conventions. By historical standards Clinton is in very good shape.
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 08:21 AM
Aug 2016

The general election doesn't start on Labor Day. Opinions begin to solidify beginning with the conventions. Hillary and her team understand that. Trump doesn't. Too bad for him.

evillemike2009

(13 posts)
10. Battleground Polls
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:07 PM
Aug 2016

But don't get happy
Get to work
Find a campaign office and help out
If we want anything done on anything even vaguely resembling a Progressive Agenda, then we gotta send people to DC who'll put constant pressure on the Executive to push for it.

Stay together
Work together
Get shit done

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
13. Trump has to sweep NC, CO, FL, IA, OH, and NV to win
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:22 PM
Aug 2016

He's behind in all of those states ans way behind in CO and NV.

He cannot win without all 6 of the states I listed and he likely won't win one of them. Hillary has to win one of these states to win election.

Based on the odds by state on Upshot, Trump has a 0.07% chance to win all 6 of these states, Hillary has a 99.93% chance of winning at least one of those 6 states.

Outside of sweeping these 6 states, Trump would have to flip some states he has almost no shot in, like WI, MI, or PA.

lark

(23,103 posts)
14. Whoohoo!!
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:23 PM
Aug 2016

So glad to see my batshit state, FL, in the HRC column. Maybe there is hope for us yet? OMG, +13 in VA and +14 in CO, that is so awesome. Wonder what the spread is in OH, PA and AZ? AZ, can't believe we even have a chance there, but that's the Drumpf effect for you. Pick a murder enciting, killed veteran's family disdaining, woman hating racist and what do you get if you are the repug party? Hopefully, monumental losses at every stage of government is what they will reap from their ignorance and crazy promoting actions all these years.



Of course, we can't rest on our laurels, GOTV is still mandatory.

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)
16. What is up with Florida, anyway?
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:28 PM
Aug 2016

I mean, I'm glad she's up in the poll, but...what's with all the Trump support? Don't you have a lot of Latinos and elderly Jewish liberals down there? I've only been to Miami - have I got it wrong?

lark

(23,103 posts)
18. FL is two states in 1.
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:34 PM
Aug 2016

No. FL is VERY military and redneck, lots of Tealiban fundamentalists here. Central FL tends to be more yuppie and very purple. So. FL. is Democratic, that's where we have large Jewish populations and very Hispanic as well. However, the repugs totally own and control the state legislature and have for ages. With people like DWS in power of FL democratic party, you can understand why it's almost non-existent, and so very weak. It's infuriating.

FLleft

(7 posts)
26. Agree
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:54 PM
Aug 2016

In my county about 33% of registered voters are Dem and about 45% are Rs. There are around 29 candidates running for various local and state offices but only 3 are Dems, and even that's more than we've had in a while.

calimary

(81,304 posts)
49. Welcome to DU, FLleft!
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 04:52 PM
Aug 2016

Good to hear that at least a few Dems are stepping up. Hey, in an election season as flaky as this one, you never know - a Democrat may have a chance or two!

maxrandb

(15,331 posts)
28. Unfortunately
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 01:00 PM
Aug 2016

I have seen no effort to tie Florida's Green Slimy Beaches and the explosion of the Zika Virus around the neck of the Republican Party where it belongs. How much is that costing the state of FL in tourism dollars alone?

If disease and pestilence isn't enough to turn the voters against the Republican Party, what will?

Oh, that's right, Hate Radio will just tell them that it's the liberals, hippies, minorities and dope-smokers fault.

lark

(23,103 posts)
30. It's Voldemort and the Death Eaters fault.
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 01:03 PM
Aug 2016

They are destroying my beautiful state for the profits of themselves and the other 1%ers.

lark

(23,103 posts)
37. Absolutely!
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 01:12 PM
Aug 2016

Still can't believe he won twice here, how sickening is that? Wish we had a semblance of a Dem party organization here.

NastyRiffraff

(12,448 posts)
56. There's a LOT of Hate Radio in FL
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 07:12 PM
Aug 2016

i used to live in Tampa, and almost every station of every genre was virulently RW. This was not AM radio, just your run of hte mill pop, rock music stations.

I"m VERY glad to see the FL polls!

lark

(23,103 posts)
75. You totally get it.
Sun Aug 14, 2016, 01:53 PM
Aug 2016

There's almost zero talk in the local fish-wrap about scott cutting mosquito funds just as zika was coming, then blaming the fed government, same as he did with health care. He's not human, he's Voldemort personified

The Great Escape

(1,235 posts)
73. What is the deal with Jacksonville/Duval County?
Sun Aug 14, 2016, 01:07 PM
Aug 2016

I thought that would be a blue pocket in North Florida.

lark

(23,103 posts)
74. No.
Sun Aug 14, 2016, 01:52 PM
Aug 2016

There are 2 major factions, teabaggers, christian fundamentalists and blacks and the first outnumbers the later in voting, usually. Guess where there is a lack of polling places, hint, it's not in the suburbs. With early voting, think the dems are very close to even, and maybe will outnumber the crazies? I'm one of the few white libs here, most of my friends that I talk politics to are black.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
68. Our batshit crazy state
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 11:04 AM
Aug 2016

Is about to go blue for the 3rd straight time. So not totally batshit crazy.

lark

(23,103 posts)
69. Not totally,
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 01:02 PM
Aug 2016

but way too close for comfort. My boss is a true repug, but basically a seemingly sane person, and she;s voting for drumpf, thinks hrc is worse. She's not a racist, is ok with people of other religions, has a Masters degree and her husband is a surgeon, but is so blinded by 30 years of rw hate that she totally won't vote for HRC. The teabaggers at work also support him. The black and hispanic folks do not support him at all, that's whats saving this state, not the white people. I am the exception, the rare liberal in No. FL.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
70. I know
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 01:49 PM
Aug 2016

I have friends- pro-choice, not problems with LGBT and not overtly racist still voting for trump. They totally ate up the whole right wing economic bullshit and think government is the problem.

They say that the whole abortion and gay rights thing is just to fool the religious nuts and it will never happen so voting on those issues is silly. They refuse to see that a different Supreme Court could change things and that the republicans would happily strip rights away. It is all about low taxes and less government and these are by no means rich people

Where in Florida are you?

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
77. Well yeah
Sun Aug 14, 2016, 05:00 PM
Aug 2016

But at least you are not in Dixie county! Great fishing but the only place I have ever seen an out-right racist bumper sticker. Not dog whistle but in your face.

 

axiom3

(54 posts)
20. Awesome news
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:43 PM
Aug 2016

Trump's advantages in the battleground states are pretty much gone now. Heck, he's even losing in some states that are GOP strongholds, with even Missouri within HRC's reach. It'd take a miracle for that cheeto-faced idiot to have any chance at this point.

Gamecock Lefty

(700 posts)
21. Let's keep hammering away!!!
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 12:44 PM
Aug 2016

Earn every vote, take nothing for granted.

And on Nov 9 Trump can say, "I was just kidding around about this Presidency thing!"

GoDawgs

(267 posts)
58. Casey Jones you better watch your speed
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 09:19 PM
Aug 2016

Drivin' that Trump train, high on meth and oxycodone

It doesn't rhyme as well as the Grateful Dead song

ColesCountyDem

(6,943 posts)
67. Iowa is essentially two states:
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 08:58 AM
Aug 2016

Northeastern Iowa, the Mississippi River counties, the Des Moines metro and the Council Bluffs area are fairly Democratic, although the state has roughly equal Democratic and Republican voter registration numbers.



Iowa is very racially homogeneous, although there are increasing numbers of Hispanic voters. People shouldn't over-analyze Iowa. It is largely rural, has (or had, at one time) the nation's highest literacy rate and is moderately conservative, although there is a deep 'populist' streak in the electorate. Iowa is also fairly religious, even among Democrats.

Iowa has long been purple, and is likely to remain so.


avebury

(10,952 posts)
33. This is when I wish Howard Dean was overseeing
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 01:06 PM
Aug 2016

the Democratic campaigns with his 50 state strategy. Make the Republicans burn up their money trying to keep Congress from slipping out of their control. If you prod Cheetoh man so that he keeps shooting the Republicans in the foot, hopefully more races will become competitive. Getting control of the Senate is critical in getting any Supreme Court nominations through. Otherwise, the Republicans will refuse to bring anybody up for consideration.

ananda

(28,865 posts)
46. Boy, sometimes I wish the election were this week!
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 03:22 PM
Aug 2016

Keepin my fingers crossed for Clinton and
BOTH houses in November!

JCMach1

(27,559 posts)
61. Dive into the demographics, it really isn't that close at all... I don't even think the extent shows
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 11:26 PM
Aug 2016

in the total numbers. The demographics are devastating across the board for Trump.

dubyadiprecession

(5,711 posts)
53. Viewing this news would ruin my friday night if i were a trump supporter...
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 05:03 PM
Aug 2016

Since i'm not. I hope south carolina and georgia solidify as a nice dark shade of blue.

Yabba dabba doo!! Trump is screwed!!

writes3000

(4,734 posts)
60. Steve Kornacki just did a great deep dive into these polls explaining the results.
Fri Aug 12, 2016, 09:33 PM
Aug 2016

Very interesting stats about the demographics in these states. Very encouraging for Hillary!

And the President is very popular in all of these states as well.

fierywoman

(7,684 posts)
63. fair is foul and foul is fair
Sat Aug 13, 2016, 01:18 AM
Aug 2016

Since we're well aware that He Who Shall Not Be Named speaks virtually only in projections (that psychological behavior where someone who hates something about himself accuses another of his own --unconscious -- failings), can't we assume that when he says that if Hillary wins PA that she could only do it by cheating, that in reality what he is saying is, "I could only win PA by cheating and rigging the election." ?

 

TheDebbieDee

(11,119 posts)
76. There's still 86 days left til Election Day!
Sun Aug 14, 2016, 02:33 PM
Aug 2016

Michael Moore is right about one thing - we can't allow ourselves to become overconfident!

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