Donald Trump's supporters are LESS likely to be affected by trade and immigration, not more
Interesting article that shows that Trump's supporters are less likely to be affected by trade and immigration. Thus, there support is not driven so much by the actual affects of globalization, but perhaps by simple racism and xenophobia.
http://www.vox.com/2016/8/12/12454250/donald-trump-gallup-trade-immigration-study
What Rothwell found was revelatory, to say the least. He finds that individuals who are struggling economically are not more likely to support Trump, nor are people living in areas that have suffered a loss of manufacturing jobs, an influx of immigration, or competition from China. By contrast, people in areas where whites are struggling health-wise, and in terms of intergenerational mobility (and in areas that are very racially segregated), do seem more likely to back Trump.
Trump supporters are richer, not poorer, than average: For one thing, Rothwell found that both across the overall population and among whites, support for Trump is correlated with higher income, not lower. Thats not surprising; low-income people have always preferred Democrats. But it definitely contradicts the image of Trump as spokesman for the economically struggling.
Rothwell also found that Trump supporters are no likelier to be unemployed or to have left the workforce. The problem of men dropping out of the labor force doesnt seem to be a factor behind Trumps rise.
"The individual data do not suggest that those who view Trump favorably are confronting abnormally high economic distress, by conventional measures of employment and income," he concludes.