The situation with the Khans is reflected in these numbers but also his questioning McCain's hero status and repeatedly saying the military is "weak". They remember those type comments and they don't like hearing about their current or former service like that.

Hes losing the Tidewater area by a LOT. Now I still expect a lot of military types neat Norfolks and Va Beach will vote Trump, but his margin with them must be narrow for her dominate the region like that. Remarkable.

11. Some local knowledge - 3 HOOOG numbers here
First - the MOE is 4% so that tempers the results just a bit.

Hillary is over 50%. In any poll it is significant to go past the peak.

Hillary is pulling 60 in Tidewater?!???! Tidewater is Williamsburg to Va. Beach. Heavy heavy military and associated government spending. This shows that at best Hillary's message is working or that they don't want anyone messing with their Uncle Sucker money (I grew up there - you hear that phrase a lot). I think it also shows that Trump's comments about the military being weak and, more importantly, his dismissal of McCain's sacrifice are being remembered.

Lastly - Trump should be pulling more than 58% in the southwest. That's feeding ground for Republican votes. There's not a huge population there but 32% for Hillary are bonus votes.

I used to spend a lot of time in the Tidewater area for both business and pleasure. It is NOT usually an area that is friendly to Democrats. I think you're right. A combination of disrespect for McCain and the Khans, as well as just a rejection of the absolute dumbfuckery that is Trump is killing him.

outside chance for SC & GA.