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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumReuters/Ipsos Tracking Poll: Clinton 41 Trump 36
I don't think this is a very good poll because the high number of undecideds means they are not pushing leaners hard enough. But here it is: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN10R23K
At this point in 2012, President Barack Obama was ahead of Republican nominee Mitt Romney by nearly the same margin, favored by 46 percent of likely voters to Romney's 41 percent, with about 13 percent picking neither candidate.
Obama and Romney swapped the lead in the poll several times through the summer and early fall before the president took and held the lead in late October.
In a separate Reuters/Ipsos poll that gave respondents the option to choose from Clinton, Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton also led Trump by 6 percentage points.
Of the alternative party candidates, Johnson came in third with 8 percentage points. Stein had about 2 percentage points.
Obama and Romney swapped the lead in the poll several times through the summer and early fall before the president took and held the lead in late October.
In a separate Reuters/Ipsos poll that gave respondents the option to choose from Clinton, Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton also led Trump by 6 percentage points.
Of the alternative party candidates, Johnson came in third with 8 percentage points. Stein had about 2 percentage points.
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Reuters/Ipsos Tracking Poll: Clinton 41 Trump 36 (Original Post)
democrattotheend
Aug 2016
OP
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)1. Its an online poll
Still using experimental methodology
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)2. Gotcha. That makes sense
In an online poll it is probably harder to push leaners, although I suppose it could be done if you have to click through each time for a new question.
Dirty Socialist
(3,252 posts)3. Too close for comfort
It's not over yet.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)4. This poll has always been close
But I agree, too close for comfort.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)5. There are going to be outliers.
Don't sweat the outliers.