Go Democrats!

Silver would probably tell you by any standard that is likely, though not a lock.

Just asking.

At least since polls started to actually become accurate in the 1950's. Some people may fear underestimating him. I think the opposite is true. He is a doofus and too many people drastically overestimate his abilities.

Trump has been spewing garbage for 100 weeks or so now. We are down to around 10 weeks to go. There is no time to repair the damage.

underestimating the American public.

Trump has about 40 million people right now who think he is the best thing since sliced bread. And elections usually become closer as the election approaches.

Every night on TV we hear how Trump's message has become more positive. On the same newscasts the only things we hear about Clinton is about the email "scandal" and the Clinton foundation "scandal". The TV news is doing its best to elect Trump.

Unless Trump goofs up big again, like with the Khans, he could very well be the next president. This is unlikely since his new handlers have a tight grip on what he says.

And Trump is still predicted to outperform Goldwater. Things can still go way downhill for Trump, but uphill is unlikely. There's a consensus building that Trump is not Presidential material, and that transcends political views. Meanwhile, Clinton is 20 times the most respected woman on earth. Hillary isn't the sort of person you can demonize easily because of that history, and they just diminish themselves while wasting their efforts trying to do so. Plus, they underestimate her deluding themselves while not convincing others.

It's too early to celebrate. There are many down-ballot races to work on, too.

He's not calling the election for her. His models say it is still possible for Trump to win.

Before you count the votes.

Weird stuff happens. Like people deciding not to vote.


I will not stop campaigning on her behalf until AFTER the votes are counted.

Period.