2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIpso released a bunch of State Polls
overall Clinton in pretty good position, some states closer than I would like
look at the polls at the link
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/#now
Grown2Hate
(2,010 posts)Clinton tired in PA, BARELY ahead in MI, up only 1 in NH, but up 5 in MISSOURI, and pretty big in FL and OH. Do like seeing AR tightening too, though.
gabeana
(3,166 posts)3% and below, I might have calculated wrong but even without PA,MI, NH, MI, WI, IA, NV, she has 292 EV,
I'd bet she'd get most of those and very likely when all is said and done she will get all of them
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)33% Clinton
37% Trump
I find this really hard to believe as with a number of them too.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Ipsos is acting on the cheap here.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)Still too early for me to do back flips over these polls even though some of them are very favorable for Hillary, but Some of the sampling in this latest Ipsos poll leaves a LOT, and I mean a LOT to be desired.
There is no way Hillary is only up by +1 in Michigan and NH, up by +6 in Va., and TIED in PA.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)But they are very weird Maine going for trump but MO going nicely for Hills It's weird polling and PA tied ? What's their sample screen FL OH seem right
molova
(543 posts)See PA with Clinton only +1, which is bullshit.
Also, they have Clinton +3 in Colorado where every other pollster has her ahead by 10% or more.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)A neighbor's relative living in Aurora Colorado, told my neighbor last week that he'd only seen one campaign ad (Role Models) run by Camp Clinton on television, and he told her that was well over a month ago, so you'd have to assume she's very solid in Co. and up by quite a bit more than the +1 in this Ipsos poll from today.
I totally agree with you, and call BS on today's Colorado poll number of +1 ONLY for Hillary.
VMA131Marine
(4,138 posts)The previous 4 polls of PA, which all were conducted during the first week of August, show Hillary up by no less than 9 points and one shows her up by 13. It's just one data point, and when you aggregate it with the others Hillary is comfortably ahead.
Iowa looks like a toss-up in this IPSOS poll as it does in the last several polls done there. GOTV will help push Hillary over the top since Trumps GOTV effort is virtually nil.
Seeing Trump ahead in Maine is odd. It's a very small sample, 210 people, versus the Gravis poll showing Clinton up 10 only a week ago that had over 2000 respondents.
Clinton +1 in Michigan looks like an outlier as does her +1 in New Hampshire.
writes3000
(4,734 posts)Ace Rothstein
(3,161 posts)There were done 7/29-8/19. That's way to wide of a date range.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)There were done 7/29-8/19. That's way to wide of a date range.