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Ipso released a bunch of State Polls (Original Post) gabeana Aug 2016 OP
Some strange takeaways... Grown2Hate Aug 2016 #1
if we throw out the toss up states gabeana Aug 2016 #4
Maine going for Trump. clutterbox1830 Aug 2016 #2
Some of these polls have under 200 in the sample. Dawson Leery Aug 2016 #3
Exactly! LenaBaby61 Aug 2016 #8
Not bad overall vadermike Aug 2016 #5
As someone noted, the sample is small unreliable. The Poll is a pile of dung molova Aug 2016 #6
As someone noted, the sample is small unreliable. The Poll is a pile of dung. LenaBaby61 Aug 2016 #11
PA certainly seems like an outlier VMA131Marine Aug 2016 #7
These sample sizes are TOO small. They shouldn't have bothered to release these. writes3000 Aug 2016 #9
Look at the dates on the polls. Ace Rothstein Aug 2016 #10
Look at the dates on the polls. LenaBaby61 Aug 2016 #12

Grown2Hate

(2,010 posts)
1. Some strange takeaways...
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 09:39 PM
Aug 2016

Clinton tired in PA, BARELY ahead in MI, up only 1 in NH, but up 5 in MISSOURI, and pretty big in FL and OH. Do like seeing AR tightening too, though.

gabeana

(3,166 posts)
4. if we throw out the toss up states
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 09:47 PM
Aug 2016

3% and below, I might have calculated wrong but even without PA,MI, NH, MI, WI, IA, NV, she has 292 EV,
I'd bet she'd get most of those and very likely when all is said and done she will get all of them

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)
2. Maine going for Trump.
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 09:43 PM
Aug 2016

33% Clinton
37% Trump

I find this really hard to believe as with a number of them too.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
8. Exactly!
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:46 PM
Aug 2016

Still too early for me to do back flips over these polls even though some of them are very favorable for Hillary, but Some of the sampling in this latest Ipsos poll leaves a LOT, and I mean a LOT to be desired.

There is no way Hillary is only up by +1 in Michigan and NH, up by +6 in Va., and TIED in PA.

vadermike

(1,415 posts)
5. Not bad overall
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:25 PM
Aug 2016

But they are very weird Maine going for trump but MO going nicely for Hills It's weird polling and PA tied ? What's their sample screen FL OH seem right

 

molova

(543 posts)
6. As someone noted, the sample is small unreliable. The Poll is a pile of dung
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:32 PM
Aug 2016

See PA with Clinton only +1, which is bullshit.
Also, they have Clinton +3 in Colorado where every other pollster has her ahead by 10% or more.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
11. As someone noted, the sample is small unreliable. The Poll is a pile of dung.
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 11:05 PM
Aug 2016

A neighbor's relative living in Aurora Colorado, told my neighbor last week that he'd only seen one campaign ad (Role Models) run by Camp Clinton on television, and he told her that was well over a month ago, so you'd have to assume she's very solid in Co. and up by quite a bit more than the +1 in this Ipsos poll from today.

I totally agree with you, and call BS on today's Colorado poll number of +1 ONLY for Hillary.

VMA131Marine

(4,138 posts)
7. PA certainly seems like an outlier
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:45 PM
Aug 2016

The previous 4 polls of PA, which all were conducted during the first week of August, show Hillary up by no less than 9 points and one shows her up by 13. It's just one data point, and when you aggregate it with the others Hillary is comfortably ahead.
Iowa looks like a toss-up in this IPSOS poll as it does in the last several polls done there. GOTV will help push Hillary over the top since Trumps GOTV effort is virtually nil.
Seeing Trump ahead in Maine is odd. It's a very small sample, 210 people, versus the Gravis poll showing Clinton up 10 only a week ago that had over 2000 respondents.
Clinton +1 in Michigan looks like an outlier as does her +1 in New Hampshire.

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