2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***Breaking Monmouth National Poll: Clinton 46, Trump 39***
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/trump-clinton-who-is-leading-227504Johnny2X2X
(19,068 posts)This is good news, no change in the race.
Here's the thing. Dems will use better data like this poll to help make campaign decisions. The Dems have the advantage of believing in science. The Reps are basically using Unskewed Polls again, they're going to make decisions based on faulty data. That absolutely hurt Romney in 2012 when he inexplicably diverted valuable resources to Pennsylvania very late in the process because of the "Surge" the unskewed polls idiots were pumping into his campaign.
It doesn't mean Dems get to cherry pick polls, but we do get to ignore the UPI and Emerson garbage that is obviously not based on real data gathering methods. The outlier polls right now have Hillary winning by 3-5, the bulk of them have her up 6-9.
Let the Reps use their fake data, it helps us.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Response to piechartking (Original post)
kestrel91316 This message was self-deleted by its author.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)And I don't like the trend in this one.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)won't even look at it because, well, it doesn't fit the narrative. Well, the only thing they may use is that HRC and special interest of Clinton Foundation bullshit, and even then, that's not even hurting HRC. But alas, has any of the polls ask any questions concerning T-rump in the hiring of White Nationalist?
vadermike
(1,415 posts)No freak outs Work our butts off ! If she is still leading by Labor Day like this it's a good sign Work hard vote volunteer Etc
vadermike
(1,415 posts)Romney was actually tied with Obama at this point in 2012 if I remember right .. So this is still good I'm sure Hillary has internal numbers they are using for campaign decisions
Johnny2X2X
(19,068 posts)Can you imagine being on the other end of all of these polls? How would we be dealing if it was Dim Don up 6 point sin the RCp average? Or if the Upshot model was 89-11% in favor of Donald winning?
Hillary is clearly ahead of Donald, there is no one out there who's claiming otherwise, that's a very good position to be in. This remains a 6-8 point race, the Right gets all excited when someone says he's only 3-5 points behind. Can you imagine how crazy they'd be if this was actually a close race? Say it was Hillary by 2-3 solid points, they'd be claiming Donald was for sure even or ahead.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)You are correct we'd all be freaking if he was up even 4 pts The fact we are ahead is great news