Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts) Tue Sep 6, 2016, 08:21 PM Sep 2016

Am severely confused about this election- and recent polling

How is it that Trump is tied or (gulp) slightly leading Hillary in national polling now and we're supposed to act concerned by this, but he is barely clinging to leads in deep red states like Georgia and Arizona that NEVER go Democratic in Presidential election, not to mention his documented lack of a campaign apparatus?

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Am severely confused about this election- and recent polling (Original Post) Proud Liberal Dem Sep 2016 OP

On average he is down about 3 points nationally, which means some polls Godhumor Sep 2016 #1

reply dylb Sep 2016 #3

the one poll showing him ahead nationally was a poorly designed outlier. unblock Sep 2016 #2

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

1. On average he is down about 3 points nationally, which means some polls

Reply to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 08:23 PM

Sep 2016

Will show him slightly leading and some will show him down mid to high single digits.

Just how polling works.

dylb

(15 posts)

3. reply

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:11 PM

Sep 2016

yep

unblock

(52,243 posts)

2. the one poll showing him ahead nationally was a poorly designed outlier.

Reply to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 08:24 PM

Sep 2016

we're still in a commanding position.

plenty of work to do still, but we're still in a better position any democrat has been in at this stage since 1996.

Reply to this discussion