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2016 Postmortem

gabeana

(3,166 posts) Tue Sep 6, 2016, 08:35 PM Sep 2016

A Poll is a Poll

Just because I don't like the result of the poll doesn't mean it is wrong
but the CNN/ORC +4 Repug why would they believe this model because in 2012 it was Dem +6 and the breakdown Dem38% Repug32% indep vote was 29%
got these numbers from Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012
what do they think they know that we don't and remember Romney was banking on winning because the polls were oversampling the Dem base. and since there is no Pres. Romney, we know how that worked out

I just don't get it

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A Poll is a Poll (Original Post) gabeana Sep 2016 OP

They think whites will vote at high rates Cicada Sep 2016 #1

A white Tsunami won't cut it anymore we live in a "diversity world." nt Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #3

The polls are not right...because Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #2

Cicada

(4,533 posts)

1. They think whites will vote at high rates

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Wed Sep 7, 2016, 12:09 AM

Sep 2016

Apparently their likely voter measures show a white tsunami. With early voting we will be able to test that assumption perhaps.

Demsrule86

(68,578 posts)

3. A white Tsunami won't cut it anymore we live in a "diversity world." nt

Reply to Cicada (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 7, 2016, 08:43 AM

Sep 2016

Demsrule86

(68,578 posts)

2. The polls are not right...because

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Wed Sep 7, 2016, 08:43 AM

Sep 2016

no way Texas and Mississippi are tossups and Trump is even close...Looking at multiple polls and particularly states polls, Hillary Clinton is ahead and possibly heading towards landslide territory.

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