2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts) Wed Sep 7, 2016, 09:50 AM Sep 2016

Harry Enten (538): {The Race} is not particularly "close"

From his Twitter account:

The funniest darn thing about all of this is Clinton is WINNING. In fact, it's not particularly "close". It's just closer than it was.
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/773286168997789700

This was in response to the CNN poll yesterday. And, yes, it does run a bit counter to 538's "Trump could still win" play right now. I think Harry just got tired of the freaking out people unskewing, getting angry, etc and let slip the truth to try and get it to stop.

1 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Harry Enten (538): {The Race} is not particularly "close" (Original Post) Godhumor Sep 2016 OP

the chart from predictwise give some helpful perspective: unblock Sep 2016 #1

unblock

(52,243 posts)

1. the chart from predictwise give some helpful perspective:

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Wed Sep 7, 2016, 09:56 AM

Sep 2016

http://predictwise.com/

74% likely to win. comforting in absolute terms, but the persistently large gap over trump and the long-term trend of hillary pulling away is even better.

the fact that the most of august was a little better than it is right now? big nothing.

Reply to this discussion