Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

LAS14

(13,783 posts)
Wed Sep 7, 2016, 11:48 AM Sep 2016

I'm glad the race is tightening at this point.

The biggest danger is that people will become complacent and stay home. This puts an edge on things. We may get more money, volunteers and voters on election day if there's a memory of this week's polls. Plenty of time to fight back now that the real race has begun on Labor Day.

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I'm glad the race is tightening at this point. (Original Post) LAS14 Sep 2016 OP
agreed. even i started slacking off in donating time and money La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2016 #1
Should we meet up for a debate? bettyellen Sep 2016 #4
where though? I want to see it in comfort! La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2016 #7
True! I do know a bar around here that is very supportive and cheap where I will watch alone bettyellen Sep 2016 #8
I don't think the race has tightened much as for these sort of posts, they don't Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #2
Agree MoonRiver Sep 2016 #3
Tightening hmmmmf. In your dreams. lonestarnot Sep 2016 #5
Sorry, LAS14, but the race ALWAYS tightens big time mid August Hortensis Sep 2016 #6
Ok, but how does this contradict what I said? LAS14 Sep 2016 #9
 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
8. True! I do know a bar around here that is very supportive and cheap where I will watch alone
Wed Sep 7, 2016, 02:08 PM
Sep 2016

Last edited Thu Sep 8, 2016, 11:49 AM - Edit history (1)

if I don't make good plans with others. I know that's a bit of a stretch for you, but there are always seats and great pizza you can take in from next door. And me. And a few of my cool friends.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
6. Sorry, LAS14, but the race ALWAYS tightens big time mid August
Wed Sep 7, 2016, 12:25 PM
Sep 2016

and after as voter preferences solidify.

Especially if one candidate has run far ahead all through the previous months, as HRC has, the change will seem far more significant than it is. All candidates who've stayed well ahead to this point and fit other large patterns as HRC has have ended up winning, btw.

Also btw, this is part of a huge electorate pattern that has persisted for decades, and there is nothing any candidate can do to keep people from progressing from capricious and undecided to knowing who they are going to vote for.

Very informative article here from The Roper Center, "Pre-Election Patterns,
The evolution of voter preferences"

https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/public-perspective/ppscan/136/136030.pdf

For others unhappy with MSM horse-race and Clinton sabotage reporting, please note that these patterns and much more are well known to all professional political reporters and their editors. They are systematically grossly misleading those who turn to them for understanding. It's not due to ignorance or naivete.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»I'm glad the race is tigh...