2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI'm glad the race is tightening at this point.
The biggest danger is that people will become complacent and stay home. This puts an edge on things. We may get more money, volunteers and voters on election day if there's a memory of this week's polls. Plenty of time to fight back now that the real race has begun on Labor Day.
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)and i LOVE hrc.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Last edited Thu Sep 8, 2016, 11:49 AM - Edit history (1)
if I don't make good plans with others. I know that's a bit of a stretch for you, but there are always seats and great pizza you can take in from next door. And me. And a few of my cool friends.
Demsrule86
(68,582 posts)help anyone.
lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)and after as voter preferences solidify.
Especially if one candidate has run far ahead all through the previous months, as HRC has, the change will seem far more significant than it is. All candidates who've stayed well ahead to this point and fit other large patterns as HRC has have ended up winning, btw.
Also btw, this is part of a huge electorate pattern that has persisted for decades, and there is nothing any candidate can do to keep people from progressing from capricious and undecided to knowing who they are going to vote for.
Very informative article here from The Roper Center, "Pre-Election Patterns,
The evolution of voter preferences"
https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/public-perspective/ppscan/136/136030.pdf
For others unhappy with MSM horse-race and Clinton sabotage reporting, please note that these patterns and much more are well known to all professional political reporters and their editors. They are systematically grossly misleading those who turn to them for understanding. It's not due to ignorance or naivete.