2016 Postmortem

piechartking

(617 posts) Mon Sep 12, 2016, 02:53 PM Sep 2016

No more reporting on "long lines", "rain keeping voters away", "5 hour waits"...

A startup called Votecastr is working to apply statistical modeling, large survey data, and precinct-level voting records to provide real-time tracking of vote totals on election day.

The data will be published on Slate on November 8, all day, before polls close. In other words, you can see the entire day how all the candidates are faring in select battleground states.

Read more about it here:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/09/slate_and_votecastr_are_teaming_up_to_publish_real_time_projections_on_election.html

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No more reporting on "long lines", "rain keeping voters away", "5 hour waits"... (Original Post) piechartking Sep 2016 OP

"Campaigns, however, do know who is winning the game as it is being played." anamandujano Sep 2016 #1

anamandujano

(7,004 posts)

1. "Campaigns, however, do know who is winning the game as it is being played."

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Mon Sep 12, 2016, 04:37 PM

Sep 2016

They have never relied on exit polls, which were designed to illuminate who voted and why, for the benefit of postelection analysis, not to predict results in real time. Instead, candidates, parties, and super PACs use a combination of analytics and active tracking of turnout across preselected precincts to produce rolling projections of how many votes they have won as the ballots are cast. They have found this method to be uncannily accurate at matching the ultimate vote count.

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