2016 Postmortem

fleabiscuit

(4,542 posts) Tue Sep 27, 2016, 01:42 PM Sep 2016

PredictWise is moving…

Ticking toward a more favorable HRC position.

Democratic: 74%
Republican: 26%

Going off memory (not good way) I believe that is a 5 point climb from yesterday for HRC.

Yay!
http://predictwise.com

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

PredictWise is moving… (Original Post) fleabiscuit Sep 2016 OP

it was 68% at one point, so 6% ;) unblock Sep 2016 #1

Most excellent! nt fleabiscuit Sep 2016 #3

Awesome! Also, Betfair is looking [even] better for HRC. Sunny05 Sep 2016 #2

Your welcome. I too like Betfair. Those betting sites certainly shouldn't be discounted. nt fleabiscuit Sep 2016 #4

as far as I know, Betfair is the biggest (over $50m bet) and best one. radius777 Oct 2016 #7

Moving some more... fleabiscuit Oct 2016 #5

Up, up and away. oasis Oct 2016 #6

One more time... fleabiscuit Oct 2016 #8

unblock

(52,259 posts)

1. it was 68% at one point, so 6% ;)

Reply to fleabiscuit (Original post)

Tue Sep 27, 2016, 01:45 PM

Sep 2016

fleabiscuit

(4,542 posts)

3. Most excellent! nt

Reply to unblock (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 27, 2016, 01:54 PM

Sep 2016

Sunny05

(865 posts)

2. Awesome! Also, Betfair is looking [even] better for HRC.

Reply to fleabiscuit (Original post)

Tue Sep 27, 2016, 01:46 PM

Sep 2016

Betfair may be British, but they've tended to "get it right" most of the time in U.S. elections.

Thanks for the PredictWise news!

fleabiscuit

(4,542 posts)

4. Your welcome. I too like Betfair. Those betting sites certainly shouldn't be discounted. nt

Reply to Sunny05 (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 27, 2016, 01:55 PM

Sep 2016

radius777

(3,635 posts)

7. as far as I know, Betfair is the biggest (over $50m bet) and best one.

Reply to Sunny05 (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 4, 2016, 04:03 PM

Oct 2016

https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html
Why this site uses odds from Betfair.com
This site's odds are entirely from the site Betfair.com. After Intrade.com was shut down, Betfair became the only prediction market in the world that has a lot of trading and is efficient. It is based in the U.K., where regulations are less onerous. It does not accept American traders due to regulations. Betfair, however, expresses their odds in a very technical gambling format; hence the need for this site.
...
Betfair is a market -- in other words, candidates' shares are traded just like stocks in the stock market, and the prices that result tell you the probability.
...
ElectionBettingOdds.com is the only site that shows the odds as well as their recent percentage increase/decrease.