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2016 Postmortem

piechartking

(617 posts) Fri Sep 30, 2016, 07:03 AM Sep 2016

9

Mason-Dixon FL Poll Clinton 46, Trump 42

Just saw on MSNBC - will post more info later. All Post-Debate.

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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***Mason-Dixon FL Poll Clinton 46, Trump 42*** (Original Post) piechartking Sep 2016 OP

That's great Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #1

Absurd that he is even that close. I think some people are lying for fun. Mamajami Sep 2016 #2

And this would be before the Cuba revelations. Lochloosa Sep 2016 #3

Hopefully Rubio's response to the Cuba issue will hurt Trump Democat Sep 2016 #4

good to have a lead, but M/D is a horrible, no-good, pathetic crap polling firm geek tragedy Sep 2016 #5

Silver gives them a B+ rating with a slight R lean M_Demo_M Sep 2016 #6

thanks, not sure how they can be the worst in 2012 and rank amongst the best geek tragedy Sep 2016 #7

I've given up on trying to figure out Silver's methodolgy M_Demo_M Sep 2016 #8

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

1. That's great

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 07:06 AM

Sep 2016

Mason Dixon often does not find good results for Democrats.

Mamajami

(257 posts)

2. Absurd that he is even that close. I think some people are lying for fun.

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 07:08 AM

Sep 2016

Lochloosa

(16,067 posts)

3. And this would be before the Cuba revelations.

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 07:08 AM

Sep 2016

Democat

(11,617 posts)

4. Hopefully Rubio's response to the Cuba issue will hurt Trump

Reply to Lochloosa (Reply #3)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 10:41 AM

Sep 2016

Unless Trump pays off Rubio to come over to his side.

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

5. good to have a lead, but M/D is a horrible, no-good, pathetic crap polling firm

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 10:43 AM

Sep 2016

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0

Worse than ARG and Rasmussen, barely better than Gallup.

M_Demo_M

(158 posts)

6. Silver gives them a B+ rating with a slight R lean

Reply to geek tragedy (Reply #5)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 10:54 AM

Sep 2016

So I'd say this is a solid result for Clinton.

FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

7. thanks, not sure how they can be the worst in 2012 and rank amongst the best

Reply to M_Demo_M (Reply #6)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 10:58 AM

Sep 2016

for 2016, but I'm not a quant.

Anyhow, I hope they're 100% accurate here, because that's game/set/match.

M_Demo_M

(158 posts)

8. I've given up on trying to figure out Silver's methodolgy

Reply to geek tragedy (Reply #7)

Fri Sep 30, 2016, 11:22 AM

Sep 2016

I'm just keeping an eye on his, Upshots, Sam Wang, and Predictwise's projections.

I really am curious which one will be most accurate on election day.

We'll see ...

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