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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 02:58 PM Oct 2016

Double Digit Landslide?

I've been saying since June that I thought Hillary would win the election and probably beat trump about 5-6 points nationally. There have been a few polls that have shown Clinton up by double digits here and there in the past few months but I felt that 10%+ was maybe a 1 in 20 chance of happening. Now I have to wonder, how likely is a double digit win? That dream is thrown out so often (look at 2012 and Romney fans saying he would win by 20 points the day before the election) that is seems like a myth that it could actually happen. Nate Silver said last night, before any of these sexual assault recordings and allegations had been released, that Clinton had a roughly 1 in 5 chance of winning by at least 11 points.

I have to ask, is a double digit win, more likely than not? Is Trump going to be the next Water Mondale/George McGovern/Barry Goldwater? Is he going to lose in a once in a generation landslide?

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Double Digit Landslide? (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2016 OP
here is hoping.... chillfactor Oct 2016 #1
Should be triple digits..... MFM008 Oct 2016 #2
I think it's very possible True_Blue Oct 2016 #3
What can we do to help Reince Priebus keep his job? randome Oct 2016 #4
12-15 IMO Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #5
Gary Johnson will probably lose a lot of support to Hillary Doctor Jack Oct 2016 #7
I've been saying CLINTON LANDSLIDE for a while now... Chasing Dreams Oct 2016 #6
You nailed it! True_Blue Oct 2016 #8
Depends on how much more of Don's dirt gets dumped Nevernose Oct 2016 #9
The House Is Back in Play = posted before the dam broke. Coyotl Oct 2016 #10
I don'pt care how many points she wins by, as long as we win the House & Senate too! napi21 Oct 2016 #11

chillfactor

(7,576 posts)
1. here is hoping....
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:04 PM
Oct 2016

t'rump needs to be swamped and hopefully he will take many down-ballot rethugs with him.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
4. What can we do to help Reince Priebus keep his job?
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:18 PM
Oct 2016

[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
5. 12-15 IMO
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:20 PM
Oct 2016

She will gain 3, he will lose 5-8 from this. I fully expect most polls to show her +10-15 within 10 days.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
7. Gary Johnson will probably lose a lot of support to Hillary
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:22 PM
Oct 2016

I think the highly dubious meme from a few months back that both Clinton and Trump were equally as bad, might as well vote third party has been decimated this week. People are going to run from Gary "Wait Where Am I Again?" Johnson.

Nevernose

(13,081 posts)
9. Depends on how much more of Don's dirt gets dumped
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:28 PM
Oct 2016

Maybe "I hate SEC football"
"Roll Tide? Fuck the Tide!"
It's NeVAHda not NeVADa. You're all pronouncing the name of your home incorrectly" (too late)
"Mitt Romney'a wives are all hot, but not as hot as mine"
"Is bang my own daughter" (too late for that one, too)

I'm running out of ideas for stupid shit he can say that he hasn't already said

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
10. The House Is Back in Play = posted before the dam broke.
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:32 PM
Oct 2016
The House Is Back in Play
Make the Republicans wear the cap they came in

?1475905060

napi21

(45,806 posts)
11. I don'pt care how many points she wins by, as long as we win the House & Senate too!
Sat Oct 8, 2016, 03:53 PM
Oct 2016

I'm thinkin this latest bombshell just MIGHT make that happen. The Pubbies probably won't vote for Hillary, but the MIGHT stay home!

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