2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDouble Digit Landslide?
I've been saying since June that I thought Hillary would win the election and probably beat trump about 5-6 points nationally. There have been a few polls that have shown Clinton up by double digits here and there in the past few months but I felt that 10%+ was maybe a 1 in 20 chance of happening. Now I have to wonder, how likely is a double digit win? That dream is thrown out so often (look at 2012 and Romney fans saying he would win by 20 points the day before the election) that is seems like a myth that it could actually happen. Nate Silver said last night, before any of these sexual assault recordings and allegations had been released, that Clinton had a roughly 1 in 5 chance of winning by at least 11 points.
I have to ask, is a double digit win, more likely than not? Is Trump going to be the next Water Mondale/George McGovern/Barry Goldwater? Is he going to lose in a once in a generation landslide?
chillfactor
(7,576 posts)t'rump needs to be swamped and hopefully he will take many down-ballot rethugs with him.
MFM008
(19,814 posts).....
True_Blue
(3,063 posts)I think this might even end as the worst defeat in American history.
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)She will gain 3, he will lose 5-8 from this. I fully expect most polls to show her +10-15 within 10 days.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)I think the highly dubious meme from a few months back that both Clinton and Trump were equally as bad, might as well vote third party has been decimated this week. People are going to run from Gary "Wait Where Am I Again?" Johnson.
Chasing Dreams
(415 posts)and wrote about it a week ago here. So yes, it's coming.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512458173
True_Blue
(3,063 posts)That's exactly what's happening.
Nevernose
(13,081 posts)Maybe "I hate SEC football"
"Roll Tide? Fuck the Tide!"
It's NeVAHda not NeVADa. You're all pronouncing the name of your home incorrectly" (too late)
"Mitt Romney'a wives are all hot, but not as hot as mine"
"Is bang my own daughter" (too late for that one, too)
I'm running out of ideas for stupid shit he can say that he hasn't already said
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)napi21
(45,806 posts)I'm thinkin this latest bombshell just MIGHT make that happen. The Pubbies probably won't vote for Hillary, but the MIGHT stay home!