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2016 Postmortem
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***HRC has 96% chance of winnning (election consortium)*** (Original Post)
triron
Oct 2016
OP
Donald is hurting down ballot Rs - FiveThirtyEight jumps 7 points in Senate forecast
ffr
Oct 2016
#1
Thx for link, but copy paste of the info additionally is very helpful
Bernardo de La Paz
Oct 2016
#4
ffr
(22,670 posts)1. Donald is hurting down ballot Rs - FiveThirtyEight jumps 7 points in Senate forecast
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512494077
Polls Only Forecast jumps 7% from this morning, just hours ago.
Chance of winning control
58.4% Dems
41.6% Reps.
Donald must stay in folks! He's helping our cause to take control of both houses, TURNING AWAY Rs and driving Dems to get behind Hillary Clinton.
Do your part too. There's still time to get voters registered in many states. GET OUT THERE AND WIN THIS THING!
Polls Only Forecast jumps 7% from this morning, just hours ago.
Chance of winning control
58.4% Dems
41.6% Reps.
Donald must stay in folks! He's helping our cause to take control of both houses, TURNING AWAY Rs and driving Dems to get behind Hillary Clinton.
Do your part too. There's still time to get voters registered in many states. GET OUT THERE AND WIN THIS THING!
stopbush
(24,396 posts)2. That 4-point gap really terrifies me!!!
She should be at 150%!!!!!
Just thought I'd get the Nervous Nellie/concern troll post in right off the bat.
C_U_L8R
(45,002 posts)3. Margin of error puts us over 100%
Hilarious !! The Republicans couldn't have chosen a worse candidate.
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,002 posts)4. Thx for link, but copy paste of the info additionally is very helpful
As of October 10, 12:05PM EDT:
Snapshot (168 state polls): Clinton 326, Trump 212 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +4.0%
RSS
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 92%, Bayesian 96%
Senate snapshot (48 polls): Dem+Ind: 50, GOP: 50, Meta-margin: D +1.2%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 72%