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2016 Postmortem

VMA131Marine

(4,139 posts) Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:48 PM Oct 2016

7

538 Polls-Plus now at 79.8% for HRC

Highest probability since the nominees were known.

*Polls-Only at 83.6%
*Now-Cast at 87.7%

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 Polls-Plus now at 79.8% for HRC (Original Post) VMA131Marine Oct 2016 OP

When more polls come out like today's NBC poll, look for these numbers to get into the 90% range. Alexander Oct 2016 #1

Now-cast has 54% chance of winning Arizona. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #2

I was told by an Arizona dwelling DUer that she would never have a chance at Arizona. stevenleser Oct 2016 #7

Link? Stubborn Oct 2016 #3

It's also not hard to Google "538" .... VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #4

Yeah, but thoughtful writers make things as easy of possible for their readers. Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #8

No, but it's your post. nt Stubborn Oct 2016 #9

Continue to work hard Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #5

K & R Scurrilous Oct 2016 #6

Alexander

(15,318 posts)

1. When more polls come out like today's NBC poll, look for these numbers to get into the 90% range.

Reply to VMA131Marine (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 01:51 PM

Oct 2016

I suspect the NBC poll is just the beginning.

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)

2. Now-cast has 54% chance of winning Arizona. . . . nt

Reply to VMA131Marine (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:04 PM

Oct 2016

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)

7. I was told by an Arizona dwelling DUer that she would never have a chance at Arizona.

Reply to Bernardo de La Paz (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:37 PM

Oct 2016

That is by one of the folks that, I believe, has "not accepted the new terms of service".

Stubborn

(116 posts)

3. Link?

Reply to VMA131Marine (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:11 PM

Oct 2016

Come on. It's not that hard.

VMA131Marine

(4,139 posts)

4. It's also not hard to Google "538" ....

Reply to Stubborn (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:14 PM

Oct 2016

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)

8. Yeah, but thoughtful writers make things as easy of possible for their readers.

Reply to VMA131Marine (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:41 PM

Oct 2016

Putting in a link is easy.

But of course if you are one of 7,300 newspapers in a town trying to get a scoop out ahead of the others, such thoughtfulness might be overlooked.

Better to take 30 seconds to put it in rather than have 360 readers take 10 seconds each = 3600 seconds = one hour of DU time. Unless one only has 3 readers. Then you would win.

Stubborn

(116 posts)

9. No, but it's your post. nt

Reply to VMA131Marine (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 03:28 PM

Oct 2016

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)

5. Continue to work hard

Reply to VMA131Marine (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:31 PM

Oct 2016

This is a revolution waiting to happen, we can change the future of our country 1 month from tomorrow. Work even harder, donate what you can, target local races. The fallout from Trump is going to have a massive effect on state races.

Scurrilous

(38,687 posts)

6. K & R

Reply to VMA131Marine (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 02:35 PM

Oct 2016

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