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2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts) Sat Oct 15, 2016, 01:41 PM Oct 2016

The LA TIMES POLL is an example of sloppy social science .Caveat emptor.

The pollsters for the LA TIMES/USC DORNSLIFE POLL claim the accurate 2012 RAND POLL is their model.

However RAND has polled this year and they found Hillary with a ten to twenty five point lead in the same time period the LA TIMES POLL had it tied:

http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1726.html

http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1758.html

http://cesrusc.org/election/

BTW, a lot of social science researchers who had privy to their raw data started picking it apart which led to them changing the user agreements:

David Rothschild ?@DavMicRot 16h16 hours ago
LAT/USC just changed their data access user agreement, wonder why @Nate_Cohn? Rebuttal validates his article