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yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
Mon Oct 17, 2016, 11:37 AM Oct 2016

Will Georgia be the harbinger of a Clinton electoral landslide?

Georgia polls close at 7 PM EST so Georgia could be one of the first states called and a solid win for Clinton there could be a strong indicator of a Clinton landslide.

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Will Georgia be the harbinger of a Clinton electoral landslide? (Original Post) yellowcanine Oct 2016 OP
The really close states will be late reporting ThoughtCriminal Oct 2016 #1
At 7:01, even if they say GA is too close to call, we'll know it's over. nixonwasbetterthanW Oct 2016 #2
They will say too close to call Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #4
They won't call it right at 7pm bluestateguy Oct 2016 #3

ThoughtCriminal

(14,047 posts)
1. The really close states will be late reporting
Tue Oct 18, 2016, 12:48 AM
Oct 2016

Watch the early reporting states in the east and see how closely the results match predictions.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
4. They will say too close to call
Tue Oct 18, 2016, 01:33 AM
Oct 2016

Guaranteed. The Democratic areas like Atlanta always report late, so the networks are always cautious in calling Georgia. There were some late rallies in the '90s.

Even when the Republican won by moderate margin the state has been listed as "too close to call" at 7 PM.

Georgia is becoming more of a possibility each cycle but it's still very early, and won't happen without a massive Hillary verdict nationwide. She would probably need to win by low double digits nationwide to barely carry Georgia.

Besides, as I used to emphasize on this site all the time, Georgia polling is flat out terrible. It overstates the Democratic candidate almost without exception. Either the models are wrong or the people/companies doing the polling are simply inferior to the level of other states. Georgia and Alaska are the worst polled states, during the 20 years I've wagered on politics.

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)
3. They won't call it right at 7pm
Tue Oct 18, 2016, 01:31 AM
Oct 2016

She'd have to have won the state exit poll by like 10 points, which is not likely.

On the other hand, if she wins the Virginia exit poll by double digits, the networks could call it for her right at 7pm (when their polls close too).

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