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2016 Postmortem

sunonmars

(8,656 posts) Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:37 PM Oct 2016

12

Dems take early returned ballot lead in Florida....unheard off, normally a big REP lead.

In a FL afternoon update, reg Dems took a returned ballot lead over Reps of 27 ballots - out of 513,089 returned ballots.

This is not normal.

If this holds, Florida will be a massacre in the end.

In 2012, FL registered Reps led Dems in returned mail ballots by over 3.0 percentage points at this point.

Apparently

41% D
41% R
15% NPA

80% White
8% Hispanic
7% black

If Clinton is getting half the white vote already and hardly any hispanic or black vote in...this is going to look very good for her.

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Dems take early returned ballot lead in Florida....unheard off, normally a big REP lead. (Original Post) sunonmars Oct 2016 OP

In this case, not normal is good. LisaL Oct 2016 #1

Florida and NC are looking a lot better than OH and IA. geek tragedy Oct 2016 #2

I'm taking this as a sign of Hillary's organization in the state BlueProgressive Oct 2016 #3

538's Now cast triron Oct 2016 #4

I can't wait until early voting opens in Florida next week. Pacifist Patriot Oct 2016 #5

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

1. In this case, not normal is good.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:38 PM

Oct 2016

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

2. Florida and NC are looking a lot better than OH and IA.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:40 PM

Oct 2016

Which is good, since 44 electoral votes is better than 24.

BlueProgressive

(229 posts)

3. I'm taking this as a sign of Hillary's organization in the state

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:43 PM

Oct 2016

being outstanding. Ground game is where Donald is going to get clobbered, since she'll have a good one almost everywhere, and he does not.

triron

(22,003 posts)

4. 538's Now cast

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:51 PM

Oct 2016

gives her 79% chance of winning Florida.

Pacifist Patriot

(24,653 posts)

5. I can't wait until early voting opens in Florida next week.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 03:58 PM

Oct 2016

Casting my ballot for Clinton a week from today!

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