2016 Postmortem

George II

(67,782 posts) Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:12 PM Oct 2016

538's current Senate prediction has Democrats ahead for SEVEN republican seats, behind in none!

They now have the Democrat ahead in these seven seat:

Illinois +11%
Wisconsin +9.3%
Indiana +4.0%
Pennsylvania + 2.3%
Missouri +2.2%
New Hampshire +1.7%
North Carolina +0.3%

Closest Democratic seat is in Nevada, where the candidate is up by 2.2%

That would result in a Senate with 53 Democrats and 47 republicans.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast#now

14 replies

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538's current Senate prediction has Democrats ahead for SEVEN republican seats, behind in none! (Original Post) George II Oct 2016 OP

Hope this trend continues, that the blue saltpoint Oct 2016 #1

GOTV...GOTV...GOTV... Moostache Oct 2016 #2

GO Democrats GO! n/t chillfactor Oct 2016 #3

please make it 55. dump McLame and baby Marco joeybee12 Oct 2016 #4

McCain will be reelected, Rubio is in fairly good shape CajunBlazer Oct 2016 #9

I would add in Florida as a seat I now think may flip to the Dems. (eom) StevieM Oct 2016 #5

That would be sweet. Lochloosa Oct 2016 #7

I don't think that is going to happen - see my post above CajunBlazer Oct 2016 #10

Points taken, but Rubio's lead is nowhere near what McCain has in Arizona. And I heard he had StevieM Oct 2016 #11

Did Chris Christy sub for his opponent? CajunBlazer Oct 2016 #12

Be still my heart. sheshe2 Oct 2016 #6

I do not like Evan Bayh, but I am excited to have my Indiana vote matter Ruth Bonner Oct 2016 #8

+1 Dawson Leery Oct 2016 #13

This would be such a gift for our Planet and for Hillary and the Dems! Cha Oct 2016 #14

saltpoint

(50,986 posts)

1. Hope this trend continues, that the blue

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:14 PM

Oct 2016

percentages keep rising, and that a certain Mitch McConnell has a big sad on Nov. 8th.

Moostache

(9,897 posts)

2. GOTV...GOTV...GOTV...

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:18 PM

Oct 2016

This is 100% NECESSARY to have any kind of functioning government...especially re: SCOTUS appointees and budgets...

chillfactor

(7,584 posts)

3. GO Democrats GO! n/t

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:20 PM

Oct 2016

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)

4. please make it 55. dump McLame and baby Marco

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:26 PM

Oct 2016

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

9. McCain will be reelected, Rubio is in fairly good shape

Reply to joeybee12 (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:46 PM

Oct 2016

McCain leads in Arizona by 9.9% in 538's poll average and is given a 92.4% chance of winning.

Rubio leads in Florida by 3.4% in 538's poll average and is given a 71.8% chance of winning.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)

5. I would add in Florida as a seat I now think may flip to the Dems. (eom)

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:30 PM

Oct 2016

Lochloosa

(16,071 posts)

7. That would be sweet.

Reply to StevieM (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:41 PM

Oct 2016

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

10. I don't think that is going to happen - see my post above

Reply to StevieM (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:48 PM

Oct 2016

StevieM

(10,500 posts)

11. Points taken, but Rubio's lead is nowhere near what McCain has in Arizona. And I heard he had

Reply to CajunBlazer (Reply #10)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 10:04 PM

Oct 2016

a debate tonight where he did really badly.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

12. Did Chris Christy sub for his opponent?

Reply to StevieM (Reply #11)

Tue Oct 18, 2016, 12:11 AM

Oct 2016

sheshe2

(83,934 posts)

6. Be still my heart.

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:34 PM

Oct 2016

Ruth Bonner

(192 posts)

8. I do not like Evan Bayh, but I am excited to have my Indiana vote matter

Reply to George II (Original post)

Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:43 PM

Oct 2016

... on the national stage. Citizen's United --- you are going DOWN!!!

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

13. +1

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Oct 18, 2016, 12:12 AM

Oct 2016

Murphy is now tying Marco to Donnie.

Cha

(297,760 posts)

14. This would be such a gift for our Planet and for Hillary and the Dems!

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Oct 18, 2016, 04:03 AM

Oct 2016

Mahalo, George!

Pat Fuller ?@bannerite
If you are sick and tired of GOP obstruction and grandstanding, then it's time to ride the wave!
8:44 AM - 6 Jul 2016
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https://theobamadiary.com/2016/07/06/chat-away-altonsterling/

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