Trump’s path to an electoral college victory isn’t narrow. It’s non-existent. - Stuart Rothenberg

By Stuart Rothenberg October 18 at 6:00 AM

The trajectory of the 2016 presidential race — which will result in a Hillary Clinton victory — remains largely unchanged from May, when Donald Trump and Clinton were in the process of wrapping up their nominations.

But what has changed recently is Clinton’s likely winning margin. For many weeks, even months, I have believed that Clinton would defeat Trump by three to six points. If anything, that range now looks a bit low, with the Democratic nominee apparently headed for a more convincing victory, quite possibly in the four-to-eight point range.

Trump continues to be his own worst enemy, saying or tweeting things that only fuel chatter about his current and past views, values and behavior. His comments about people — from Vladimir Putin and Alicia Machado to some of the women who have accused him of sexual assault — have kept the focus on him at a time when he should be making the election a referendum on Clinton.

No, Trump’s supporters have not turned on him. But he trails badly with only a few weeks to go until Nov. 8, and he must broaden his appeal to have any chance of winning. That is now impossible.

Major national polls show Clinton leading among likely voters by anywhere from as few as four points, in the Oct. 10-13 Washington Post/ABC News poll, to as many as 11 points in the Oct. 10-13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey.

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/10/18/gop-still-faces-uphill-senate-climb/?wpisrc=nl_politics&wpmm=1