2016 Postmortem

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts) Wed Oct 19, 2016, 09:51 AM Oct 2016

Poll: Clinton beating Trump by 5 in Arizona

Poll: Clinton beating Trump by 5 in Arizona
By NOLAN D. MCCASKILL 10/19/16 07:20 AM EDT

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in Arizona, according to an Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll released Wednesday.

Clinton tops Trump in Arizona, 39 percent to 34 percent. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson garners 6 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein registers at 1 percent. Twenty-one percent, however, are undecided.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/poll-arizona-clinton-beating-trump-229972

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

***Poll: Clinton beating Trump by 5 in Arizona*** (Original Post) workinclasszero Oct 2016 OP

These polls all look good except for jcgoldie Oct 2016 #1

How can someone be undecided at this point? workinclasszero Oct 2016 #2

I'm guessing jcgoldie Oct 2016 #3

Sounds plausible for sure workinclasszero Oct 2016 #5

Hope it gets even a stronger lead.. GOTV2016! Cha Oct 2016 #4

We need a Hillary landslide Cha! workinclasszero Oct 2016 #6

A Big Blue Wave! Cha Oct 2016 #7

Woohoo! Here it comes!! workinclasszero Oct 2016 #8

Mahalo! Those are some really righteous Waves, Cha Oct 2016 #9

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)

1. These polls all look good except for

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 09:54 AM

Oct 2016

The very large numbers of undecideds at this late stage in the process. Here's hoping they just stay home.

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

2. How can someone be undecided at this point?

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 09:58 AM

Oct 2016

3 weeks to go. I bet many of them just blow off voting altogether.

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)

3. I'm guessing

Reply to workinclasszero (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 10:05 AM

Oct 2016

At least half of those are traditional republicans who can't stomach voting for Trump but have spent too many years swallowing anti-Clinton BS to support her either. If you look at it that way the numbers make sense. In AZ for example in a normal year you would expect the dem candidate to be around 40 and the repub around 45 with 10% undecided split between them on election day. Trump is underperforming an average republican candidate by 5-10 points.

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

5. Sounds plausible for sure

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 10:08 AM

Oct 2016

I'm thing the polls might be undercutting Hillary some because of the many republicans that will vote for her in secret.

Mostly female

Cha

(297,240 posts)

4. Hope it gets even a stronger lead.. GOTV2016!

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 10:06 AM

Oct 2016

Thank you, working~

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

6. We need a Hillary landslide Cha!

Reply to Cha (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 10:10 AM

Oct 2016

If she takes redstate Arizona...its ON!!

Cha

(297,240 posts)

7. A Big Blue Wave!

Reply to workinclasszero (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 10:12 AM

Oct 2016

Pat Fuller ?@bannerite
If you are sick and tired of GOP obstruction and grandstanding, then it's time to ride the wave!
8:44 AM - 6 Jul 2016
26 26 Retweets 33 33 likes