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2016 Postmortem

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts) Wed Oct 19, 2016, 12:36 PM Oct 2016

But there is also another possibility. There might be a silent or miscalculated Latino/non-Christian vote out there ready to show up.

There are signs of this in the Latino Decisions polls.

http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/3314/7655/9098/Wk5_Full_Tracker.pdf

For congress:
71% Vote Democrat
16% Vote Republican

Republicans down 5 points from 2012

Horserace:
75% Clinton
14% Trump

73-24 Obama in 2012

Have you been contacted by GOTV Operations?
44% Yes
56% No

This number has gone up 5% in 5 weeks

Who contacted you?

63% Democrats
15% Republicans
16% Non-Partisan

How likely are you to vote?
82% Almost Certain
9% Probably
8% 50-50
1% Will not vote

http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/3314/7655/9098/Wk5_Full_Tracker.pdf
http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/9314/7439/6904/All_Weeks_2012_Tracker_Results.pdf