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Who is IBD/TIPP?? They have Trump +1 nationally (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP
Irritiable Bowl Disease? Tommy_Carcetti Oct 2016 #1
hardcore wingnuts nt geek tragedy Oct 2016 #2
I'll Be Damned? Trouble Interpreting Presidential Polls? LeftofObama Oct 2016 #3
investors business daily rdking647 Oct 2016 #4
Investors Business Daily BlueState Oct 2016 #5
lolz obamanut2012 Oct 2016 #6
according to them trump leads among married women.... rdking647 Oct 2016 #7
Well he should, given how enthusiastically he's been chasing after them jberryhill Oct 2016 #12
Investors Business Daily. Not sure on their poll accuracy, however, there articles are still_one Oct 2016 #9
A poll of 782 likely voters. Jim__ Oct 2016 #10
Even with Hillary up 8 or 9 points ... VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #11
What the Fuck: Trump does better among parents (46% to 32%) and married women (44% to 41%), factfinder_77 Oct 2016 #14

still_one

(92,196 posts)
9. Investors Business Daily. Not sure on their poll accuracy, however, there articles are
Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:25 PM
Oct 2016

have gone out of their way to bash Hillary and Democrats

Here is an example of an editorial:

"In July 2009, an editorial in Investor's Business Daily claimed that physicist Stephen Hawking "wouldn't have a chance in the U.K., where the [British] National Health Service (NHS) would say the life of this brilliant man, because of his physical handicaps, is essentially worthless." Hawking has always lived in the U.K. and receives his medical care from the NHS, and IBD later removed the editorial's reference to Hawking in its online version, and appended an "Editor's Note," which said, "This version corrects the original editorial which implied that physicist Stephen Hawking, a professor at the University of Cambridge, did not live in the UK."[10][11] Hawking himself responded, "I wouldn't be here today if it were not for the NHS. I have received a large amount of high-quality treatment without which I would not have survived."[12]"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investor%27s_Business_Daily

Jim__

(14,077 posts)
10. A poll of 782 likely voters.
Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:27 PM
Oct 2016
From IBD:

...

A total of 872 Americans age 18 or older participated in the nationwide survey. Of the 872 respondents, 825 were registered voters and 782 were likely voters.

The story is based on the subsample of likely voters. The margin of error for the likely voters sample is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.


VMA131Marine

(4,139 posts)
11. Even with Hillary up 8 or 9 points ...
Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:29 PM
Oct 2016

There's still about a 10% chance of a poll showing Trump slightly ahead. If you look at all the national polls, sure enough about 1 in 10 show Trump with a lead. Only about two-thirds of even well executed polls will be within one standard deviation of measuring the actual split between Hillary and Trump voters. Most of these polls have an MOE (standard deviation) of 3-4%. The chance of any single poll getting the split exactly correct is quite small. much less than 50%.

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