2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHow bad is it for Trump? He leads by only 10 in very RED IDAHO (Mittens won by 32% in '12)
Donald Trump holds a 10-percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton in Idaho, a just-completed Idaho Politics Weekly poll shows.
The survey was wrapped up BEFORE the bombshell Trump sexist tape had time to sink in for Idaho voters.
Undoubtedly that tape and the second presidential debate attacks by Trump (and a bit less by Clinton) would have an affect on the presidential race.
IPW pollster Dan Jones & Associates also finds that even though Idaho is voting for Trump, more Idahoans believe Clinton will ultimately win the presidency than those who say Trump will be victorious.
Here are some of the numbers:
40 percent of likely Idaho voters say they favor the Republican nominee.
30 percent stated that they would vote for Clinton.
10 percent pick Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson.
3 percent prefer Green Partys Jill Stein.
11 percent say they will vote for some other candidate.
And 7 percent dont know yet whom they will vote for on Nov. 8.
The new survey without even the damaging Trump sexist tape in play shows a shift away from Trump and towards Clinton in Idaho over the last month or so.
An early September survey by Jones found Trump with 44 percent support, Clinton with just 23 percent.
So Clinton has gone from a 21-point deficit to 10 points, with still about a month to go in the race.
http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1277-poll-clinton-gaining-on-trump-in-idaho
That's unbelievable in Idaho. Good unbelievable though.
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Renew Deal
(81,866 posts)They have an alternative and are planning to use it
StevieM
(10,500 posts)Zambero
(8,964 posts)Just within the last week or so. Idaho is about a third LDS. They went 90% for Romney last go-round. Trump will be lucky to get half that.