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Larry Sabato just said on CNN that he now has Hillary Clinton at 352 electoral votes (Original Post) highplainsdem Oct 2016 OP
hahaha! Carol just said she was speechless! PearliePoo2 Oct 2016 #1
And Sabato generally has a mild republican bias unblock Oct 2016 #2
I have the same tally too as of right now. clutterbox1830 Oct 2016 #3
Where do you have Ohio right now? PearliePoo2 Oct 2016 #4
I have Ohio going for Hillary atm. clutterbox1830 Oct 2016 #5
May be cause they have their own internal polls which differ from what we see. KittyWampus Oct 2016 #6
That is probably true, but I rather see them spending some resource in other states clutterbox1830 Oct 2016 #8
Sabato shifted 11 States in favor of Clinton. brooklynite Oct 2016 #7

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)
3. I have the same tally too as of right now.
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 10:41 AM
Oct 2016

Although I think Clinton will win ME-2, but not NE-2. NE-2 is more conservative since the 2008 election because R redraw the district lines. Also because of other factors as well.

I would love to move IA or GA in the D column, but need more data. If I have a small criticism in Clinton's camp is their hesitation to expand the map. Listening to an interview with Robbie Mook (Clinton's campaign manager), he sounded like GA is not in play atm and their team was not really going to pursue it until further notice. Same for other states not on their radar.

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)
5. I have Ohio going for Hillary atm.
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 10:56 AM
Oct 2016

I have it as lean D right now despite some recent polling and stories about lower turnout in early voting.

clutterbox1830

(395 posts)
8. That is probably true, but I rather see them spending some resource in other states
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 11:30 AM
Oct 2016

than focusing on basically all their time/money on the same swing states (like my state of Pa.)
It seems like at least 1 surrogate is campaigning here every week. I can't see Clinton not winning Pa. I don't think Mcginty losing to Toomey too in the Senate race for that matter.

It only my critique. I prefer them to try in states where they are down than playing it safe all the time.

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