2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLarry Sabato just said on CNN that he now has Hillary Clinton at 352 electoral votes
Carol Costello was stunned.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
Trump is at 173.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)She's discussing it now.
unblock
(52,261 posts)clutterbox1830
(395 posts)Although I think Clinton will win ME-2, but not NE-2. NE-2 is more conservative since the 2008 election because R redraw the district lines. Also because of other factors as well.
I would love to move IA or GA in the D column, but need more data. If I have a small criticism in Clinton's camp is their hesitation to expand the map. Listening to an interview with Robbie Mook (Clinton's campaign manager), he sounded like GA is not in play atm and their team was not really going to pursue it until further notice. Same for other states not on their radar.
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)Larry has it "Likely Blue".
clutterbox1830
(395 posts)I have it as lean D right now despite some recent polling and stories about lower turnout in early voting.
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)clutterbox1830
(395 posts)than focusing on basically all their time/money on the same swing states (like my state of Pa.)
It seems like at least 1 surrogate is campaigning here every week. I can't see Clinton not winning Pa. I don't think Mcginty losing to Toomey too in the Senate race for that matter.
It only my critique. I prefer them to try in states where they are down than playing it safe all the time.