2016 Postmortem

book_worm

(15,951 posts) Fri Oct 21, 2016, 05:45 PM Oct 2016

Poll: HRC's lead in FL's Miami-Dade is "the most any democrat has ever gotten"

Hillary Clinton needs Florida’s largest county to deliver big for her come Election Day — and Miami-Dade seems poised to do so.

Clinton wallops Trump by 30 percentage points, according to a new WLRN-Univision 23 poll released Tuesday that shows her ahead by 58-28 percent. That margin is 6 points wider than President Barack Obama’s over Mitt Romney in 2012, when Obama won Miami-Dade by 62-38 percent. Obama went on to victory in Florida by a single point.

Clinton’s spread over Trump is “the most that any Democrat has ever gotten, dating back to the 2000 election,” in Miami-Dade, said Fernand Amandi, the Democratic pollster who conducted the survey with his firm, Bendixen & Amandi International. Obama bested John McCain in Miami-Dade by 16 points in 2008. John Kerry defeated George W. Bush by only 6 points in 2004, as Al Gore did against Bush in 2000. Kerry and Gore lost.

In the poll, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein drew a combined 5 percent support. Clinton leads Trump by about 4 percentage points statewide, a Real Clear Politics polling average shows.

Blue Miami-Dade is no bellwether. But a Democrat could amass so many votes in Miami-Dade — and neighboring Broward and Palm Beach — to make it impossible for a Republican to match them in redder, less populated Florida counties.

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article109052487.html#storylink=cpy

6 replies

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Poll: HRC's lead in FL's Miami-Dade is "the most any democrat has ever gotten" (Original Post) book_worm Oct 2016 OP

Lots of Latinos and Jews in Miami. The minorities will deliver this election. Happyhippychick Oct 2016 #1

That's good. LisaL Oct 2016 #2

Without Latino support, Rubio would be toast. BlueStater Oct 2016 #3

As someone in her eighth decade of life, marybourg Oct 2016 #4

I'm in Miami-Dade Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #5

The I-4 corridor will do our part GulfCoast66 Oct 2016 #6

Happyhippychick

(8,379 posts)

1. Lots of Latinos and Jews in Miami. The minorities will deliver this election.

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 05:50 PM

Oct 2016

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

2. That's good.

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 06:00 PM

Oct 2016

BlueStater

(7,596 posts)

3. Without Latino support, Rubio would be toast.

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 06:04 PM

Oct 2016

I really don't get how anyone can possibly back both Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio at the same time.

marybourg

(12,631 posts)

4. As someone in her eighth decade of life,

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 06:04 PM

Oct 2016

I'm somewhat nonplussed by the descriptor "ever" applied to a span of time going back only 16 years, to 2000.

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

5. I'm in Miami-Dade

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 07:45 PM

Oct 2016

I don't think it will be 30. Feels too high. But there's no doubt this area is more friendly to Democrats now. Previously I never talked politics with Cuban neighbors. Now they approach me when I'm working in my front yard and say nice things about Hillary.

Rubio is receiving a push from local businesses. I see his signs outside one store after another. In particular, Shell stations in my neighborhood are plastered with Rubio signs. They say, "Rubio for Senate" and the ones leftover from the primaries say, "Florida is Rubio Country"

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)

6. The I-4 corridor will do our part

Reply to book_worm (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 08:51 PM

Oct 2016

Especially all the recent Puerto Rican immigrants excited to vote in their first presidential election. For Hillary!!

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