2016 Postmortem

Equinox Moon

(6,344 posts) Sat Oct 22, 2016, 01:04 PM Oct 2016

Reuters projects Clinton to win with 326 electoral votes

Hillary Clinton is on pace for a big win over Donald Trump on Election Day, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation study released Saturday.

The study projects Clinton to win 326 electoral votes to Trump’s 212, and says she would have a 95 percent chance of winning if the election were held this week.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/302326-reuters-projects-clinton-to-win-with-326-electoral-votes

13 replies

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Reuters projects Clinton to win with 326 electoral votes (Original Post) Equinox Moon Oct 2016 OP

With a few States in play, I'd put my money on Hillary & the Dems misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #1

FiveThirtyEight Lanius Oct 2016 #2

Oh, Happy Feet dance riversedge Oct 2016 #3

That's a conservative call, except Trump's total is likely to be 206. herding cats Oct 2016 #4

Two weeks is a long time duffyduff Oct 2016 #5

That's low. My guess is she'll be in the high 300s, with a remote chance of breaking 400 George II Oct 2016 #6

Actually, that's disgraceful. Seriously. DFW Oct 2016 #7

True that, except for the fact that the rest of the world saw... Amonester Oct 2016 #9

Great post. It's breathtaking, isn't it? Ishoutandscream2 Oct 2016 #12

Seriously DFW Oct 2016 #13

More Trump out there says Republican analyst Rick Wilson bucolic_frolic Oct 2016 #8

k&r saidsimplesimon Oct 2016 #10

Nice to see the numbers getting closer to my prediction miyazaki Oct 2016 #11

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)

1. With a few States in play, I'd put my money on Hillary & the Dems

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 01:10 PM

Oct 2016

Benchmark Politics @benchmarkpol

Clinton remains at 94% win probability.
Expands her electoral votes, 358 EV Clinton - 180 EV Trump, carrying ME-2.

http://benchmark.shareblue.com/

Lanius

(599 posts)

2. FiveThirtyEight

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 01:11 PM

Oct 2016

has it 339-198. The NY Times has it 323-215. The Princeton Election Consortium has it 336-202. And other predictions I've seen have similar electoral college numbers.

riversedge

(70,247 posts)

3. Oh, Happy Feet dance

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 01:12 PM

Oct 2016

herding cats

(19,565 posts)

4. That's a conservative call, except Trump's total is likely to be 206.

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 01:14 PM

Oct 2016

That's if she doesn't swing Arizona or Georgia, which are both in play at the moment. Also, Trump is Looking like he'll lose in Utah to McMullin.

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)

5. Two weeks is a long time

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 03:36 PM

Oct 2016

I predict Trump will lose either like Barry Goldwater or Alf Landon.

In truth, he should not carry a single state.

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. That's low. My guess is she'll be in the high 300s, with a remote chance of breaking 400

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 03:37 PM

Oct 2016

DFW

(54,414 posts)

7. Actually, that's disgraceful. Seriously.

Reply to Equinox Moon (Original post)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 03:46 PM

Oct 2016

The notion that a candidate so UNBELIEVABLY unqualified for the presidency could get 212 electoral votes in our country is not only appalling, it sends a signal to the rest of the world that we are a nation, holding enormous reserves of wealth and destructive might, where 40% of our citizens would have been willing to send a boorish, ignorant oaf to the Oval Office.

Although a tally of 326 electoral votes is obviously enough to send Trumppence packing, it is nowhere near enough to reassure the rest of the world that sane people are overwhelmingly dominant in our country.

Amonester

(11,541 posts)

9. True that, except for the fact that the rest of the world saw...

Reply to DFW (Reply #7)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 03:58 PM

Oct 2016

Dubya's lying & disgusting cabal before. 2000 & 2004...

Not a surprise, unfortunately. The only surprise is that that disgusting pig is worse...

Ishoutandscream2

(6,662 posts)

12. Great post. It's breathtaking, isn't it?

Reply to DFW (Reply #7)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 04:02 PM

Oct 2016

DFW

(54,414 posts)

13. Seriously

Reply to Ishoutandscream2 (Reply #12)

Sat Oct 22, 2016, 04:12 PM

Oct 2016

I'm in a different country practically every day for work, and since Palin (or, actually, Dan Quayle), I'm sick and tired of Republicans forcing candidates on us that not only make us look like infantile mental midgets, but scare the living shit out of the rest of the world that we could some day actually vote in such a person as our president. They know full well that we choose our candidates through the primary system. Therefore, both our candidates win their candidacies by popular demand. What kind of country are we where such people as Palin, Trump and Pence enjoy popular demand on that scale? It's an apology I'm sick and tired of making.

Yes, Hillary will win, but it is still some kind of scary to know that over 50 million adult American voters will be sorry to hear that Trump did not.