2016 Postmortem

still_one

(92,422 posts) Wed Oct 26, 2016, 08:57 AM Oct 2016

Bloomberg just reported trump has a 2 point lead in Florida in a Bloomberg Poll. Are large

members of the populous in Florida really that stupid?

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-26/florida-poll

22 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Bloomberg just reported trump has a 2 point lead in Florida in a Bloomberg Poll. Are large (Original Post) still_one Oct 2016 OP

I live here in Florida and I say Yes they are katmondoo Oct 2016 #1

I lived there until last year... LP2K12 Oct 2016 #2

Good news is that Hillary does not need Florida. Still think she'll take the state though. MoonRiver Oct 2016 #3

Actually, we need to be concerned. The real danger is complacency. The Senate seems to also be still_one Oct 2016 #7

I don't know anyone who is complacent. MoonRiver Oct 2016 #20

It's not about Hillary winning Florida Txbluedog Oct 2016 #21

GOTV Florida! MoonRiver Oct 2016 #22

You are exactly right! I'm ignored the "concern" worriers. Annoying and not helpful. writes3000 Oct 2016 #8

I just added the link to that poll in the OP, and here also still_one Oct 2016 #4

Yes bmstee01 Oct 2016 #5

Where was she in Bloomberg's previous poll? vdogg Oct 2016 #6

Here is a tabulation of the recent polls in Florida still_one Oct 2016 #10

Thanks vdogg Oct 2016 #15

They are claiming 51% Hispanic support and 82% black support. vdogg Oct 2016 #12

I lived in Florida as a snowbird for six years. apcalc Oct 2016 #9

Clinton has been ahead in Florida for a long time now. Imperialism Inc. Oct 2016 #11

You are correct! writes3000 Oct 2016 #14

Florida needs to split apart superpatriotman Oct 2016 #13

Over the next forty years, a good chunk of Florida will sink beneath the sea. Agnosticsherbet Oct 2016 #18

Early voting JennyMominFL Oct 2016 #16

Survey USA poll over the same period has Clinton plus 3. vdogg Oct 2016 #17

You forgot to average your polls Loki Liesmith Oct 2016 #19

katmondoo

(6,457 posts)

1. I live here in Florida and I say Yes they are

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 08:59 AM

Oct 2016

LP2K12

(885 posts)

2. I lived there until last year...

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:00 AM

Oct 2016

And visited family recently. Yes, yes they are. Almost every family member I have there is voting for him.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

3. Good news is that Hillary does not need Florida. Still think she'll take the state though.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:02 AM

Oct 2016

One poll does not negate all the other polls showing her ahead. We need to calm down. Hillary Clinton WILL be our next president.

still_one

(92,422 posts)

7. Actually, we need to be concerned. The real danger is complacency. The Senate seems to also be

Reply to MoonRiver (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:06 AM

Oct 2016

narrowing,

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

None of this is a given.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

20. I don't know anyone who is complacent.

Reply to still_one (Reply #7)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:36 AM

Oct 2016

Everybody I am associated with, who supports Clinton, knows how critical this election is. I am just stating the statistical fact, that she does not need Florida to win the election.

Txbluedog

(1,128 posts)

21. It's not about Hillary winning Florida

Reply to MoonRiver (Reply #20)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:44 AM

Oct 2016

It's about driving enough turnout to get rid of Rubio

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

22. GOTV Florida!

Reply to Txbluedog (Reply #21)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:49 AM

Oct 2016

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

8. You are exactly right! I'm ignored the "concern" worriers. Annoying and not helpful.

Reply to MoonRiver (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:08 AM

Oct 2016

still_one

(92,422 posts)

4. I just added the link to that poll in the OP, and here also

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:02 AM

Oct 2016

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-26/florida-poll

bmstee01

(453 posts)

5. Yes

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:02 AM

Oct 2016

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

6. Where was she in Bloomberg's previous poll?

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:06 AM

Oct 2016

CNN is comparing it to an earlier Quinnipiac poll and trying to claim Trump "momentum"....idiots!

still_one

(92,422 posts)

10. Here is a tabulation of the recent polls in Florida

Reply to vdogg (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:10 AM

Oct 2016

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html#polls

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

15. Thanks

Reply to still_one (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:13 AM

Oct 2016

It appears that this is the first Bloomberg poll of Florida. Kind of hard to get a trend off that.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

12. They are claiming 51% Hispanic support and 82% black support.

Reply to vdogg (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:11 AM

Oct 2016

These numbers are closer to 70 and ninety honestly. That would make up that to point difference.

apcalc

(4,465 posts)

9. I lived in Florida as a snowbird for six years.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:09 AM

Oct 2016

Politics is absolutely rotten there....

Imperialism Inc.

(2,495 posts)

11. Clinton has been ahead in Florida for a long time now.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:11 AM

Oct 2016

There is no chance Trump is leading there. Outlier poll.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/

writes3000

(4,734 posts)

14. You are correct!

Reply to Imperialism Inc. (Reply #11)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:12 AM

Oct 2016

superpatriotman

(6,252 posts)

13. Florida needs to split apart

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:11 AM

Oct 2016

Like the Dakotas or carolinas
South Florida and north Florida

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)

18. Over the next forty years, a good chunk of Florida will sink beneath the sea.

Reply to superpatriotman (Reply #13)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:19 AM

Oct 2016

And its people will become ecological refugees.

Also, I can not think of a legal mechanism that could be used to force the state to split apart.

JennyMominFL

(218 posts)

16. Early voting

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:14 AM

Oct 2016

Dems outnumber Reps in early voting by a significant number. Here in Orange county, the votes are 2 to one against Trump... THat is per the states numbers on EV... Trump has a small lead in mail in ballots, which is to be expected, however, that lead is smaller than it was in 2012
https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

17. Survey USA poll over the same period has Clinton plus 3.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:19 AM

Oct 2016

Also, the Seltzer poll has a known Trump lean.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

19. You forgot to average your polls

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Wed Oct 26, 2016, 09:30 AM

Oct 2016

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